Evidence map›Paper›PMID 18566045›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2008

Fifty years of violent war deaths from Vietnam to Bosnia: analysis of data from the world health survey programme.

Ziad Obermeyer, Christopher J L Murray, Emmanuela Gakidou

Erratum issuedAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2008. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 30 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Pooled it
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  9. Estimating conflict losses and reporting biases.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
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  16. Sex Differences in Quality of Life and Health Services Utilization among Elderly People in Rural Vietnam.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018
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  20. The global burden of injury: incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years and time trends from the Global Burden of Disease study 2013.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2016
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ziad ObermeyerInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA. ziad_obermeyer@hms.harvard.edu
Christopher J L Murray
Emmanuela Gakidou

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo provide an accurate estimate of violent war deaths.

designAnalysis of survey data on mortality, adjusted for sampling bias and censoring, from nationally representative surveys designed to measure population health. Estimated deaths compared with estimates in database of passive reports.

setting2002-3 World health surveys, in which information was collected from one respondent per household about sibling deaths, including whether such deaths resulted from war injuries.

main outcome measureEstimated deaths from war injuries in 13 countries over 50 years.

resultsFrom 1955 to 2002, data from the surveys indicated an estimated 5.4 million violent war deaths (95% confidence interval 3.0 to 8.7 million) in 13 countries, ranging from 7000 in the Republic of Congo [corrected] to 3.8 million in Vietnam. From 1995 to 2002 survey data indicate 36,000 war deaths annually (16,000 to 71,000) in the 13 countries studied. Data from passive surveillance, however, indicated a figure of only a third of this. On the basis of the relation between world health survey data and passive reports, we estimate 378,000 globalwar deaths annually from 1985-94, the last years for which complete passive surveillance data were available.

conclusionsThe use of data on sibling history from peacetime population surveys can retrospectively estimate mortality from war. War causes more deaths than previously estimated, and there is no evidence to support a recent decline in war deaths.

Indexed as

WarfareAdolescentAdultAgedAge DistributionChildChild, PreschoolEpidemiologic MethodsFamily CharacteristicsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansInfantMaleMiddle AgedMortality

Identifiers

PMID18566045
PMCPMC2440905

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.