Evidence map›Paper›PMID 18428196›Full record

ArticleCancer2008

Limits of observational data in determining outcomes from cancer therapy.

Sharon H Giordano, Yong-Fang Kuo, Zhigang Duan, Gabriel N Hortobagyi, Jean Freeman, James S Goodwin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer, 2008. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 89 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
89citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

89 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

29 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sharon H GiordanoDepartment of Breast Medical Oncology, The University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX 77030, USA. sgiordan@mdanderson.org
Yong-Fang Kuo
Zhigang Duan
Gabriel N Hortobagyi
Jean Freeman
James S Goodwin

Funding

UTMB Center for Population Health and Health DisparitiesP50CA105631 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MEDICAL BR GALVESTON · PI GOODWIN, MD, JAMES S. · 2003 to 2008
$8.5M
UTMB CLAUDE PEPPER OLDER AMERICANS INDEPENDENCE CENTERP60AG017231 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MEDICAL BR GALVESTON · PI GOODWIN, JAMES SIMEON · 2000 to 2004
$6.9M
Adherence Among Older Women with Breast CancerK07CA109064 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI GIORDANO, SHARON HERMES · 2004 to 2009
$729k
NCI NIH HHS 1K07CA109064-04NCI NIH HHS P50 CA105631NCI NIH HHS P50CA105631NIA NIH HHS P60 AG017231
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundObservational data are used increasingly to assess the effectiveness of therapies. However, selection biases are likely to have an impact on results and threaten the validity of these studies.

methodsThe primary objective of the current study was to explore the effect of selection biases in observational studies of treatment effectiveness in cancer care. Patients were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare linked database. The following groups of patients were included: 5245 men treated with and without androgen deprivation for locally advanced prostate cancer, 43,847 men with active treatment versus observation for low- and intermediate-risk prostate cancer, and 4860 patients with lymph node-positive colon cancer who were treated with and without fluorouracil chemotherapy. Patients were compared by therapy for the outcomes of cancer-specific mortality, other-cause mortality, and overall mortality.

resultsIn all comparisons, the observational data produced improbable results. For example, when evaluating outcomes of men who were treated with and without androgen deprivation for locally advanced prostate cancer, men who underwent androgen deprivation had higher prostate cancer mortality (hazard ratio, 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.29-1.92) despite clinical trial evidence that this treatment improves cancer mortality. Controlling for comorbidity, extent of disease, and other characteristics by multivariate analyses or by propensity analyses had remarkably small impact on these improbable results.

conclusionsThe current results suggested that the results from observational studies of treatment outcomes should be viewed with caution.

Indexed as

AdenocarcinomaAgedAged, 80 and overAndrogen AntagonistsChemotherapy, AdjuvantColonic NeoplasmsCombined Modality TherapyHumansLymph NodesMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasms, Hormone-DependentProstatectomyProstatic NeoplasmsSEER ProgramSurvival RateAndrogen Antagonists

Identifiers

PMID18428196
PMCPMC3856661

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.