COX-2 and PPARgamma expression are potential markers of recurrence risk in mammary duct carcinoma in-situ.

backgroundIn women with duct carcinoma in-situ (DCIS) receiving breast conservation therapy (BCT), in-breast recurrences are seen in approximately 10%, but cannot be accurately predicted using clinical and histological criteria. We performed a case-control study to identify protein markers of local recurrence risk in DCIS.

methodsWomen treated for DCIS with BCT, who later developed in-breast recurrence (cases) were matched by age and year of treatment to women who remained free of recurrence (controls).

resultsA total of 69 women were included in the study, 31 cases and 38 controls. Immunohistochemical evaluation of DCIS tissue arrays was performed for estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, HER-2/neu, cyclin D1, p53, p21, cycloxygenase-2 (COX-2) and peroxisome proliferator activated receptor gamma (PPARgamma). Two markers were significantly different between cases and controls on univariate analysis: strong COX-2 expression was associated with increased risk of recurrence, with 67% vs. 24% positivity in cases and controls p = 0.006; and nuclear expression of PPARgamma was associated with protection from recurrence with 4% vs. 27% positivity in cases and controls, p = 0.024. In a multivariate model which included size, grade, COX-2 and PPARgamma positivity, we found COX-2 positivity to be a strong independent risk factor for recurrence (OR 7.90, 95% CI 1.72-36.23)., whereas size and grade were of borderline significance. PPARgamma expression continued to demonstrate a protective trend, (OR 0.14, 95% CI 0.06-1.84).

conclusionOur findings suggest that COX-2 and PPARgamma should be investigated further as biologic markers to predict DCIS recurrence, particularly since they are also potential therapeutic targets.