ArticlePopulation health metrics2007
Model for estimating the population prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: cross sectional data from the Health Survey for England.
Article in Population health metrics, 2007. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.
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Who cites it
21 citing papers in PubMed, 52 citations in OpenAlex.
- Trial
- Development and validation of a model to predict the 10-year risk of general practitioner-recorded COPD.NPJ primary care respiratory medicine · 2014Trial
- Estimating the burden of underdiagnosis within England: A modelling study of linked primary care data.PloS one · 2025Article
- Unveiling the hidden burden: estimating the proportion of undiagnosed depression, hypertension and diabetes - a modelling study using survey data from adults in England, 2011-2019.BMJ public health · 2025Article
- Exploration of preferences among people with COPD to inform resource allocation: a discrete choice experiment study.BMJ open respiratory research · 2024Article
- CT whole lung radiomic nomogram: a potential biomarker for lung function evaluation and identification of COPD.Military Medical Research · 2024Article
- Article
- Prevalence of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in England from 2000 to 2019.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2023Article
- Duration of exposure and educational level as predictors of occupational respiratory symptoms among adults in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.SAGE open medicine · 2021Review
- Forecasting obesity prevalence in Korean adults for the years 2020 and 2030 by the analysis of contributing factors.Nutrition research and practice · 2018Article
- The spatial structure of chronic morbidity: evidence from UK census returns.International journal of health geographics · 2016Article
- Does COPD risk vary by ethnicity? A retrospective cross-sectional study.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2016Article
- A retrospective study of the impact of a telephone alert service (Healthy Outlook) on hospital admissions for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.NPJ primary care respiratory medicine · 2014Article
- Improving outcomes for people with COPD by developing networks of general practices: evaluation of a quality improvement project in east London.NPJ primary care respiratory medicine · 2014Article
- Article
- A review of the use of health examination data from the Health Survey for England in government policy development and implementation.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2014Article
- Finding the missing millions - the impact of a locally enhanced service for COPD on current and projected rates of diagnosis: a population-based prevalence study using interrupted time series analysis.Primary care respiratory journal : journal of the General Practice Airways Group · 2013Article
- Effect of ethnicity on the prevalence, severity, and management of COPD in general practice.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2012Article
- Epidemiology of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a literature review.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2012Review
- Trends in the epidemiology of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in England: a national study of 51 804 patients.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2010Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major but neglected public health problem. Currently 1.4% of the England population has a clinical diagnosis of COPD, but the true burden of the disease has not been known with certainty, as many cases remain undiagnosed.
methodsA mathematical model based on cross sectional data from a representative sample of the population in England (the Heath Survey for England 2001, n = 10,750) was developed allowing estimates on the prevalence of COPD (defined based on the presence of airflow obstruction) to be obtained. Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate and choose risk factors for inclusion in the model and to derive the prevalence estimates based on the strength of association between selected risk factors and the outcome COPD. The model allows the prevalence to be estimated in populations at national level and also at regional and large local areas, based on their compositions according to age, sex, smoking and ethnicity, and on area degrees of urbanisation and deprivation. We applied the model to measure the prevalence of COPD in England and in some sub-groups of the population within the country.
resultsThe prevalence of COPD in England is estimated as 3.1% (3.9% in men and 2.4% in women) in the population over 15 years of age, and 5.3% (6.8% in men and 3.9% in women) in 45 year-olds and over. There was a 7-fold variation in the prevalence across subgroups of the population, with lowest values in Asian women from wealthy rural areas (1.7%), and highest in black men from deprived urban areas (12.5%).
conclusionThe model can be used to estimate population prevalence of COPD from large general practices to national level, and as a tool to identify areas of high levels of unmet needs for COPD priority health actions. The results from the model highlight the importance of including variables other than age, sex and smoking, i.e. levels of deprivation, urbanisation and ethnicity, when estimating population prevalence of COPD. The model should be validated at local level and incorporated into case-finding strategies.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.