ArticleJournal of mathematical biology2007
Model-consistent estimation of the basic reproduction number from the incidence of an emerging infection.
Article in Journal of mathematical biology, 2007. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers.
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Who cites it
55 citing papers in PubMed.
- Generation time in a discrete epidemic model with asymptomatic carriers: beyond geometric waiting times.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2027Article
- Estimation of the exponential growth rate of an epidemic.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- El Niño and La Niña differentially drive transmission dynamics of the small ruminant parasite Haemonchus contortus across agroecological zones in Southern Africa.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Time-varying reproduction number estimation: fusing compartmental models with generalized additive models.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2025Article
- Article
- Inferring the differences in incubation-period and generation-interval distributions of the Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Heterogeneity is a key factor describing the initial outbreak of COVID-19.Applied mathematical modelling · 2023Article
- How time-scale differences in asymptomatic and symptomatic transmission shape SARS-CoV-2 outbreak dynamics.Epidemics · 2023Article
- Effect of sojourn time distributions on the early dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak.Nonlinear dynamics · 2023Article
- Numerical methods and hypoexponential approximations for gamma distributed delay differential equations.IMA journal of applied mathematics · 2022Article
- The importance of the generation interval in investigating dynamics and control of new SARS-CoV-2 variants.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2022Article
- Estimating the generation interval from the incidence rate, the optimal quarantine duration and the efficiency of fast switching periodic protocols for COVID-19.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Mathematical modelling of earlier stages of COVID-19 transmission dynamics in Ghana.Results in physics · 2022Article
- Inferring the reproduction number using the renewal equation in heterogeneous epidemics.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2022Article
- Analysing the impact of migration on HIV/AIDS cases using epidemiological modelling to guide policy makers.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2022Article
- Caveats on COVID-19 herd immunity threshold: the Spain case.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- COVID-19 Pandemic Outbreak in the Subcontinent: A Data Driven Analysis.Journal of personalized medicine · 2021Article
- Lessons for preparedness and reasons for concern from the early COVID-19 epidemic in Iran.Epidemics · 2021Article
- Speed and strength of an epidemic intervention.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2021Article
- The impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions, demographic, social, and climatic factors on the initial growth rate of COVID-19: A cross-country study.The Science of the total environment · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We investigate the merit of deriving an estimate of the basic reproduction number R0 early in an outbreak of an (emerging) infection from estimates of the incidence and generation interval only. We compare such estimates of R0 with estimates incorporating additional model assumptions, and determine the circumstances under which the different estimates are consistent. We show that one has to be careful when using observed exponential growth rates to derive an estimate of R0, and we quantify the discrepancies that arise.
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