Evidence map›Paper›PMID 17631514›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2007

Referral patterns, cancer diagnoses, and waiting times after introduction of two week wait rule for breast cancer: prospective cohort study.

Shelley Potter, Sasi Govindarajulu, Mike Shere, Fiona Braddon, Geoffrey Curran, Rosemary Greenwood, Ajay K Sahu, Simon J Cawthorn

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2007. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Referral interventions from primary to specialist care: a systematic review of international evidence.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2014
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  11. Initiatives to reduce the waiting time to initiate oncological treatment: a scoping literature review.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2022
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  20. Risk of breast cancer in symptomatic women in primary care: a case-control study using electronic records.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2014
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Shelley PotterBreast Care Centre, Frenchay Hospital, Bristol.
Sasi Govindarajulu
Mike Shere
Fiona Braddon
Geoffrey Curran
Rosemary Greenwood
Ajay K Sahu
Simon J Cawthorn

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo investigate the long term impact of the two week wait rule for breast cancer on referral patterns, cancer diagnoses, and waiting times.

designProspective cohort study.

settingA specialist breast clinic in a teaching hospital in Bristol.

participantsAll patients referred to breast clinic from primary care between 1999 and 2005.

main outcome measuresNumber, route, and outcome of referrals from primary care and waiting times for urgent and routine appointments.

resultsThe annual number of referrals increased by 9% over the seven years from 3499 in 1999 to 3821 in 2005. Routine referrals decreased by 24% (from 1748 to 1331), but two week wait referrals increased by 42% (from 1751 to 2490) during this time. The percentage of patients diagnosed with cancer in the two week wait group decreased from 12.8% (224/1751) in 1999 to 7.7% (191/2490) in 2005 (P<0.001), while the number of cancers detected in the "routine" group increased from 2.5% (43/1748) to 5.3% (70/1331) (P<0.001) over the same period. About 27% (70/261) of people with cancer are currently referred in the non-urgent group. Waiting times for routine referrals have increased with time.

conclusionThe two week wait rule for breast cancer is failing patients. The number of cancers detected in the two week wait population is decreasing, and an unacceptable proportion is now being referred via the routine route. If breast cancer services are to be improved, the two week wait rule should be reviewed urgently.

Indexed as

AdultAgedBreast NeoplasmsCohort StudiesEnglandFamily PracticeFemaleHealth Services AccessibilityHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesReferral and ConsultationTime FactorsWaiting Lists

Identifiers

PMID17631514
PMCPMC1941875

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.