Evidence map›Paper›PMID 17457167›Full record

Trial reportAnnals of surgery2007

Early assessment of pancreatic infections and overall prognosis in severe acute pancreatitis by procalcitonin (PCT): a prospective international multicenter study.

Bettina M Rau, Esko A Kemppainen, Andrew A Gumbs, Markus W Büchler, Karl Wegscheider, Claudio Bassi, Pauli A Puolakkainen, Hans G Beger

Open access · greenAbstract readClinical TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Annals of surgery, 2007. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 68 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
68citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
17.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

68 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 238 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Diagnosis of infected pancreatic necrosis: A review of the role of blood biomarkers.Indian journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Indian Society of Gastroenterology · 2025
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Observational
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Turkish Society of Gastroenterology: Pancreas Working Group, Acute Pancreatitis Committee Consensus Report.The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology · 2024
    Review
  16. Review
  17. Infected pancreatic necrosis-Current trends in management.Indian journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Indian Society of Gastroenterology · 2024
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

8 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Bettina M RauDepartment of General, Visceral, and Vascular Surgery, University of the Saarland, Kirrberger Strasse, 66421 Homburg/Saar, Germany. bettina.rau@uniklinikum-saarland.de
Esko A Kemppainen
Andrew A Gumbs
Markus W Büchler
Karl Wegscheider
Claudio Bassi
Pauli A Puolakkainen
Hans G Beger
Helsinki University Hospital · FIUniversity of Verona · ITSaarland University · DEUniversität Hamburg · DEUniversität Ulm · DEUniversity of Bern · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPancreatic infections and sepsis are major complications in severe acute pancreatitis (AP) with significant impact on management and outcome. We investigated the value of Procalcitonin (PCT) for identifying patients at risk to develop pancreatic infections in severe AP.

methodsA total of 104 patients with predicted severe AP were enrolled in five European academic surgical centers within 96 hours of symptom onset. PCT was measured prospectively by a semi-automated immunoassay in each center, C-reactive protein (CRP) was routinely assessed. Both parameters were monitored over a maximum of 21 consecutive days and in weekly intervals thereafter.

resultsIn contrast to CRP, PCT concentrations were significantly elevated in patients with pancreatic infections and associated multiorgan dysfunction syndrome (MODS) who all required surgery (n = 10) and in nonsurvivors (n = 8) early after onset of symptoms. PCT levels revealed only a moderate increase in patients with pancreatic infections in the absence of MODS (n = 7), all of whom were managed nonoperatively without mortality. A PCT value of > or =3.5 ng/mL on 2 consecutive days was superior to CRP > or =430 mg/L for the assessment of infected necrosis with MODS or nonsurvival as determined by ROC analysis with a sensitivity and specificity of 93% and 88% for PCT and 40% and 100% for CRP, respectively (P < 0.01). The single or combined prediction of the two major complications was already possible on the third and fourth day after onset of symptoms with a sensitivity and specificity of 79% and 93% for PCT > or =3.8 ng/mL compared with 36% and 97% for CRP > or =430 mg/L, respectively (P = 0.002).

conclusionMonitoring of PCT allows early and reliable assessment of clinically relevant pancreatic infections and overall prognosis in AP. This single test parameter significantly contributes to an improved stratification of patients at risk to develop major complications.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overBacterial InfectionsCalcitoninCalcitonin Gene-Related PeptideC-Reactive ProteinEarly DiagnosisFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPancreatitisPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisProspective StudiesCALCA protein, humanCalcitoninCalcitonin Gene-Related PeptideC-Reactive ProteinProtein Precursors

Identifiers

PMID17457167
PMCPMC1877072
OpenAlexW1980859849

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.