Evidence map›Paper›PMID 17417710›Full record

ArticleJournal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract2007

Co-morbidity is a strong predictor of early death and multi-organ system failure among patients with acute pancreatitis.

Charles Frey, Hong Zhou, Danielle Harvey, Richard H White

Abstract read
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Article in Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract, 2007. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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  7. Observational
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  13. The relationship between pre-existing diabetes mellitus and the severity of acute pancreatitis: Report from a large international registry.Pancreatology : official journal of the International Association of Pancreatology (IAP) ... [et al.] · 2022
    Article
  14. The role of imaging in acute pancreatitis.La Radiologia medica · 2021
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Global epidemiology and holistic prevention of pancreatitis.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2019
    Review
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  19. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Charles FreyDepartment of Surgery, University of California-Davis, Davis, CA, USA.
Hong Zhou
Danielle Harvey
Richard H White

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A small but significant percentage of patients with acute pancreatitis die within 2 weeks of hospitalization, usually with multiorgan system failure. To determine the effect of chronic medical comorbidities on early death, we conducted a retrospective analysis of all patients who were hospitalized in California with first-time pancreatitis between 1992 and 2002. Among 84,713 patients, 1514 (1.8%) died within 2 weeks. In a risk-adjusted multivariate model, the strongest predictors of early death were age 65 to 75 years (OR = 2.6, 95% CI: 2.2-3.1 versus <55 years), age over 75 years (OR = 5.2, 95% CI: 4.4-6.1), and the presence of either two chronic comorbid conditions (OR = 3.5, CI: 2.7-4.6) or three or more comorbidities (OR = 7.4, 95% CI: 5.7-9.5). Among the 14,280 patients younger than 55 years who had no chronic comorbid conditions, only 14 (0.1%) died in the first 14 days compared to 701 (5.9%) of 24,852 patients 64 years or older who had three or more comorbidities (RR = 29, 95% CI: 17-50). Comorbid conditions associated with early death included recent cancer, heart failure, renal disease, and liver disease. We conclude that advancing age and the number of chronic comorbid conditions are very strong predictors of early death among patients with acute pancreatitis.

Indexed as

Acute DiseaseAgedAge FactorsChronic DiseaseComorbidityFemaleHeart FailureHumansKidney DiseasesLiver DiseasesMaleMiddle AgedMultiple Organ FailureNeoplasmsPancreatitisPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID17417710

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.