Evidence map›Paper›PMID 17290077›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of gastrointestinal cancer2006

Mortality predictions for esophageal, stomach, and pancreatic cancer, Ireland, up to 2015.

P O'Lorcain, S Deady, H Comber

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Article in International journal of gastrointestinal cancer, 2006. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Stomach cancer mortality in the future: where are we going?International journal of preventive medicine · 2011
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

P O'LorcainNational Cancer Registry, Boreenmanna Road, Elm Court, Cork, Ireland.
S Deady
H Comber

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background and aim of the studyAn analysis was undertaken to predict numbers of esophageal, stomach, and pancreatic cancer deaths and their World age standardized mortality rates (WASMRs) per 100,000 person years (100,000 PY-1) in Ireland for the years 2005, 2010 and 2015.

methodsLinear and log-linear Poisson regression models were applied to 1950-2002 Irish cancer mortality data.

resultsBy 2015, esophageal cancer WASMR for males is expected to rise to 9.1 100,000 PY-1, but for females to fall to 2.3 100,000 PY-1. In women under 65 yr, the WASMR is expected to decline to 0.8 100,000 PY-1 but to increase to 3.6 100,000 PY-1 in men. The stomach cancer WASMR for males is predicted to decrease to 5.3 100,000 PY-1 and for females to 2.9 100,000 PY-1. In males under 65 yr, the WASMR is predicted to fall to 1.7 100,000 PY-1 and to 1.0 100,000 PY-1 in women. The male WASMR for pancreatic cancer is predicted to decrease to 5.9 100,000 PY-1 and to 4.7 100,000 PY-1 in women. In men under 65 yr, the WASMR is predicted to drop to 1.7 100,000 PY-1 and to fall in women to 1.2 100,000 PY-1.

conclusionsApart from male esophageal cancer, the findings would indicate that declines in Irish WASMRs for these three cancer types are expected to occur by 2015.

Indexed as

Esophageal NeoplasmsFemaleForecastingHumansIrelandMaleModels, StatisticalPancreatic NeoplasmsPoisson DistributionPredictive Value of TestsRegistriesSex CharacteristicsStomach NeoplasmsSurvival Analysis

Identifiers

PMID17290077

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.