Evidence map›Paper›PMID 17187567›Full record

ArticleVector borne and zoonotic diseases (Larchmont, N.Y.)2006

Confined animal feeding operations as amplifiers of influenza.

Roberto A Saenz, Herbert W Hethcote, Gregory C Gray

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vector borne and zoonotic diseases (Larchmont, N.Y.), 2006. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. CAFOs, novel influenza, and the need for One Health approaches.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2021
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Evidence for Cross-species Influenza A Virus Transmission Within Swine Farms, China: A One Health, Prospective Cohort Study.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2018
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Are People Living Near Modern Swine Production Facilities at Increased Risk of Influenza Virus Infection?Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2016
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Roberto A SaenzDepartment of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. ras93@cam.ac.uk
Herbert W Hethcote
Gregory C Gray

Funding

Population-based Surveillance for Zoonotic Influenza AR21AI059214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF IOWA · PI GRAY, GREGORY CHARLES · 2004 to 2005
$615k
NIAID NIH HHS R21 AI059214
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Influenza pandemics occur when a novel influenza strain, often of animal origin, becomes transmissible between humans. Domestic animal species such as poultry or swine in confined animal feeding operations (CAFOs) could serve as local amplifiers for such a new strain of influenza. A mathematical model is used to examine the transmission dynamics of a new influenza virus among three sequentially linked populations: the CAFO species, the CAFO workers (the bridging population), and the rest of the local human population. Using parameters based on swine data, simulations showed that when CAFO workers comprised 15-45% of the community, human influenza cases increased by 42-86%. Successful vaccination of at least 50% of CAFO workers cancelled the amplification. A human influenza epidemic due to a new virus could be locally amplified by the presence of confined animal feeding operations in the community. Thus vaccination of CAFO workers would be an effective use of a pandemic vaccine.

Indexed as

Influenza VaccinesZoonosesAnimal FeedAnimal HusbandryAnimalsBirdsDisease OutbreaksDisease ReservoirsHumansInfluenza, HumanInfluenza in BirdsMathematicsModels, BiologicalOccupational DiseasesPopulation DynamicsPublic HealthInfluenza Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID17187567
PMCPMC2042988

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.