ArticleHealth policy (Amsterdam, Netherlands)2007
The role of public policies in reducing smoking prevalence in California: results from the California tobacco policy simulation model.
Article in Health policy (Amsterdam, Netherlands), 2007. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers.
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Who cites it
41 citing papers in PubMed.
- Demographic trends and mortality disparities in emphysema across the United States (1999-2023): a retrospective population-based study using CDC WONDER database.Annals of medicine and surgery (2012) · 2026Article
- Smoking Histories by State in the U.S.American journal of preventive medicine · 2023Article
- Illuminating a Path Forward for Tobacco Nation: Projected Impacts of Recommended Policies on Geographic Disparities.Tobacco use insights · 2023Article
- The case for investment in tobacco control: lessons from four countries in the Americas.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2022Article
- Environmental and economics-related factors of smoking among Iranian adults aged 35-70: a PERSIAN cohort-based cross-sectional study.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021Article
- Social and behavioral risk reduction strategies for tuberculosis prevention in Canadian Inuit communities: a cost-effectiveness analysis.BMC public health · 2021Article
- The Minnesota SimSmoke Tobacco Control Policy Model of Smokeless Tobacco and Cigarette Use.American journal of preventive medicine · 2019Article
- The potential impact and cost-effectiveness of tobacco reduction strategies for tuberculosis prevention in Canadian Inuit communities.BMC medicine · 2019Article
- Social influences normalize gambling-related harm among higher risk gamblers.Journal of behavioral addictions · 2018Article
- The US SimSmoke tobacco control policy model of smokeless tobacco and cigarette use.BMC public health · 2018Article
- Seven years of progress in tobacco control: an evaluation of the effect of nations meeting the highest level MPOWER measures between 2007 and 2014.Tobacco control · 2018Article
- Application of the Abridged SimSmoke model to four Eastern Mediterranean countries.Tobacco control · 2016Article
- The role of public policies in reducing smoking prevalence: results from the Michigan SimSmoke tobacco policy simulation model.Cancer causes & control : CCC · 2016Article
- Estimating the Potential Impact of Tobacco Control Policies on Adverse Maternal and Child Health Outcomes in the United States Using the SimSmoke Tobacco Control Policy Simulation Model.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2016Article
- Gauging the Effect of U.S. Tobacco Control Policies From 1965 Through 2014 Using SimSmoke.American journal of preventive medicine · 2016Article
- Public Health Effects of Restricting Retail Tobacco Product Displays and Ads.Tobacco regulatory science · 2015Article
- The effect of geography and citizen behavior on motor vehicle deaths in the United States.PloS one · 2015Article
- Russia SimSmoke: the long-term effects of tobacco control policies on smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable deaths in Russia.Tobacco control · 2014Article
- Sweden SimSmoke: the effect of tobacco control policies on smoking and snus prevalence and attributable deaths.European journal of public health · 2014Article
- Socioeconomic and country variations in cross-border cigarette purchasing as tobacco tax avoidance strategy. Findings from the ITC Europe Surveys.Tobacco control · 2014Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Tobacco control policies are examined utilizing a simulation model for California, the state with the longest running comprehensive program. We assess the impact of the California Tobacco Control Program (CTCP) and surrounding price changes on smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable deaths. Modeling begins in 1988 and progresses chronologically to 2004, and considers four types of policies (taxes, mass media, clean air laws, and youth access policies) independently and as a package. The model is validated against existing smoking prevalence estimates. The difference in trends between predicted smoking rates from the model and other commonly used estimates of smoking prevalence for the overall period were generally small. The model also predicted some important changes in trend, which occurred with changes in policy. The California SimSmoke model estimates that tobacco control policies reduced smoking rates in California by an additional 25% relative to the level that they would have been if policies were kept at their 1988 level. By 2004, the model attributes 59% of the reduction to price increases, 28% of the overall effect to media policies, 11% to clean air laws, and only a small percent to youth access policies. The model estimates that over 5000 lives will be saved in the year 2010 alone as a result of the CTCP and industry-initiated price increases, and that over 50,000 lives were saved over the period 1988-2010. Tobacco control policies implemented as comprehensive tobacco control strategies have significantly impacted smoking rates. Further tax increases should lead to additional lives saved, and additional policies may result in further impacts on smoking rates, and consequently on smoking-attributable health outcomes in the population.
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