Evidence map›Paper›PMID 17003395›Full record

ArticleJAMA2006

Prediction of MLH1 and MSH2 mutations in Lynch syndrome.

Judith Balmaña, David H Stockwell, Ewout W Steyerberg, Elena M Stoffel, Amie M Deffenbaugh, Julia E Reid, Brian Ward, Thomas Scholl, Brant Hendrickson, John Tazelaar and 2 more

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PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA, 2006. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 66 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
66citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
11.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

66 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 191 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guidelines for biomarker testing in colorectal carcinoma (CRC): a national consensus of the Spanish Society of Pathology (SEAP) and the Spanish Society of Medical Oncology (SEOM).Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2012
    Guideline
  3. SEOM clinical guidelines for hereditary cancer.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2011
    Guideline
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Development and evaluation of INTFrontiers in oncology · 2023
    Article
  9. Review
  10. A validation of models for prediction of pathogenic variants in mismatch repair genes.Genetics in medicine : official journal of the American College of Medical Genetics · 2022
    Article
  11. PREDICTION OF HEREDITARY CANCERS USING NEURAL NETWORKS.The annals of applied statistics · 2022
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Economic Burden of Depression and Associated Resource Use in Manitoba, Canada.Canadian journal of psychiatry. Revue canadienne de psychiatrie · 2020
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Effective Identification of Lynch Syndrome in Gastroenterology Practice.Current treatment options in gastroenterology · 2019
    Review
  18. Community Practice Implementation of a Self-administered Version of PREMMClinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2018
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Development and Validation of the PREMMJournal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2017
    Article

6 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Judith BalmañaPopulation Sciences Division, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, and Division of Gastroenterology, Boston, Mass 02115, USA.
David H Stockwell
Ewout W Steyerberg
Elena M Stoffel
Amie M Deffenbaugh
Julia E Reid
Brian Ward
Thomas Scholl
Brant Hendrickson
John Tazelaar
Lynn Anne Burbidge
Sapna Syngal
Mass General Brigham · US

Funding

The Genetics and Prevention of Gastrointestinal CancersK24CA113433 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INSTITUTE · PI SYNGAL, SAPNA · 2005 to 2014
$1.7M
NCI NIH HHS K24 CA 113433
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

contextLynch syndrome is caused primarily by mutations in the mismatch repair genes MLH1 and MSH2.

objectivesTo analyze MLH1/MSH2 mutation prevalence in a large cohort of patients undergoing genetic testing and to develop a clinical model to predict the likelihood of finding a mutation in at-risk patients. DESIGN, SETTING, AND

participantsPersonal and family history were obtained for 1914 unrelated probands who submitted blood samples starting in the year 2000 for full gene sequencing of MLH1/MSH2. Genetic analysis was performed using a combination of sequence analysis and Southern blotting. A multivariable model was developed using logistic regression in an initial cohort of 898 individuals and subsequently prospectively validated in 1016 patients. The complex model that we have named PREMM(1,2) (Prediction of Mutations in MLH1 and MSH2) was developed into a Web-based tool that incorporates personal and family history of cancer and adenomas.

main outcome measureDeleterious mutations in MLH1/MSH2 genes.

resultsOverall, 14.5% of the probands (130/898) carried a pathogenic mutation (MLH1, 6.5%; MSH2, 8.0%) in the development cohort and 15.3% (155/1016) in the validation cohort, with 42 (27%) of the latter being large rearrangements. Strong predictors of mutations included proband characteristics (presence of colorectal cancer, especially > or =2 separate diagnoses, or endometrial cancer) and family history (especially the number of first-degree relatives with colorectal or endometrial cancer). Age at diagnosis was particularly important for colorectal cancer. The multivariable model discriminated well at external validation, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.80 (95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.84).

conclusionsPersonal and family history characteristics can accurately predict the outcome of genetic testing in a large population at risk of Lynch syndrome. The PREMM(1,2) model provides clinicians with an objective, easy-to-use tool to estimate the likelihood of finding mutations in the MLH1/MSH2 genes and may guide the strategy for molecular evaluation.

Indexed as

Genetic TestingModels, StatisticalAdaptor Proteins, Signal TransducingAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCarrier ProteinsCohort StudiesColorectal Neoplasms, Hereditary NonpolyposisFemaleHumansInternetLikelihood FunctionsLogistic ModelsMaleAdaptor Proteins, Signal TransducingCarrier ProteinsMLH1 protein, humanMSH2 protein, humanMutL Protein Homolog 1MutS Homolog 2 ProteinNuclear Proteins

Identifiers

PMID17003395
OpenAlexW2135982041

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.