ArticleOccupational and environmental medicine2006
Predicting the long term course of low back pain and its consequences for sickness absence and associated work disability.
Article in Occupational and environmental medicine, 2006. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 92 citations in OpenAlex.
- The contribution from psychological, social, and organizational work factors to risk of disability retirement: a systematic review with meta-analyses.BMC public health · 2017Pooled it
- Physical activity and low back pain: a systematic review of recent literature.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2011Pooled it
- Prevention of low back pain and its consequences among nurses' aides in elderly care: a stepped-wedge multi-faceted cluster-randomized controlled trial.BMC public health · 2013Trial
- Predicting low back pain-related absenteeism in the Spanish general working population.Occupational and environmental medicine · 2026Observational
- Environmental Risk Assessment of Low Back Pain in ICU Nurses: An Instrument Development Study.Journal of nursing management · 2023Article
- Work Ability and Quality of Life in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Reducing the burden of low back pain: results from a new microsimulation model.BMC musculoskeletal disorders · 2022Article
- Development and validation of a prediction model for unemployment and work disability among 55 950 Dutch workers.European journal of public health · 2022Article
- Article
- Recurrent pain and work disability: a record linkage study.International archives of occupational and environmental health · 2020Article
- Impact of a Safe Resident Handling Program in Nursing Homes on Return-to-Work and Re-injury Outcomes Following Work Injury.Journal of occupational rehabilitation · 2019Article
- Within-individual analysis of pain and sickness absence among employees from low and high occupational classes: a record linkage study.BMJ open · 2019Article
- Prevalence and factors associated with low back pain among nurses at a regional hospital in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.Health SA = SA Gesondheid · 2018Article
- Does rare use of assistive devices during patient handling increase the risk of low back pain? A prospective cohort study among female healthcare workers.International archives of occupational and environmental health · 2015Article
- Associations of work-related factors and work engagement with mental and physical health: a 1-year follow-up study among older workers.Journal of occupational rehabilitation · 2015Article
- Trunk muscles strength as a risk factor for nonspecific low back pain: a pilot study.Annals of rehabilitation medicine · 2014Article
- Data processing costs for three posture assessment methods.BMC medical research methodology · 2013Article
- Biopsychosocial factors and perceived disability in saleswomen with concurrent low back pain.Safety and health at work · 2010Article
- Low back pain predict sickness absence among power plant workers.Indian journal of occupational and environmental medicine · 2010Article
- Biopsychosocial predictors of pain, disability, health care consumption, and sick leave in first-episode and long-term back pain: a longitudinal study in the general population.International journal of behavioral medicine · 2010Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundLow back pain is characterised by a dynamic pattern of episodes and recovery but little is known about the long term course of back pain due to lack of cohort studies with sufficiently long follow up periods.
methodsA cohort of 523 workers in nursing homes and homes for the elderly was followed for two years. Physical load was measured by observations at the workplace. Psychosocial factors at work, individual characteristics, and low back pain were determined by questionnaire once a year. The effect of work load on low back pain and the transition of low back pain into sickness absence was calculated with logistic regression analysis. A Markov model was used to construct a hypothetical cohort of workers with follow up of 40 years (40 cycles of 1 year) with transitional probabilities between no complaints, low back pain, and sickness due to low back pain. Permanent disability was used as end state of health.
resultsThe transitional probability from no complaints to low back pain varied between p = 0.25 and p = 0.29, from low back pain to sickness absence between p = 0.09 and p = 0.25, and recurrence of sickness absence varied between p = 0.27 and p = 0.50, depending on the level of physical load. During a 40 year career, total sickness absence due to low back pain was approximately 140 weeks (6.6%) among workers with high physical load and about 30 weeks (1.4%) among those with low physical load.
conclusionThe Markov approach illustrated the potential impact of physical load on (permanent) disability due to low back pain among workers with exposure to physical load. These consequences may go unnoticed in cohort studies with follow up periods of a few years.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.