Evidence map›Paper›PMID 16736003›Full record

ArticleBritish journal of cancer2006

An approach to estimating prognosis using fractional polynomials in metastatic renal carcinoma.

P Royston, M Reitz, J Atzpodien

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in British journal of cancer, 2006. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Optimal designs for health risk assessments using fractional polynomial models.Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment : research journal · 2022
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Predicting Outcomes in Emergency Medical Admissions Using a Laboratory Only Nomogram.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2017
    Article
  6. Prognostic factors for overall survival with targeted therapy in Chinese patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma.Canadian Urological Association journal = Journal de l'Association des urologues du Canada · 2014
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

P RoystonMRC Clinical Trials Unit, Cancer Division, Medical Research Council (MRC), London, UK.
M Reitz
J Atzpodien
Fachklinik Hornheide · DEMRC Cancer Unit · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_U122861386
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We present a prognostic model for metastatic renal cell carcinoma based on fractional polynomials. We retrospectively analysed 425 metastatic renal cell carcinoma patients treated with subcutaneous recombinant cytokine-based home therapies in consecutive trials. In our approach, we categorised a continuous prognostic index produced by the multivariable fractional polynomial (MFP) algorithm, using a strategy in which continuous predictors are kept continuous. The MFP algorithm selected five prognostic factors as significant at the 5% level in a multivariable model: lymph node metastases, liver metastases, bone metastases, age, C-reactive protein and neutrophils. The MFP model allowed us to divide patients into four risk groups achieving median overall survivals of 38 months (low risk), 23 months (low intermediate risk), 15 months (high intermediate risk) and 5.6 months (high risk). Our approach, based on categorising a continuous prognostic index produced by the MFP algorithm, allowed more flexibility in the determination of risk groups than traditional approaches.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAlgorithmsClinical Trials as TopicFemaleHumansImmunotherapyKidney NeoplasmsMaleNeoplasm MetastasisPrognosisRisk FactorsSurvival Analysis

Identifiers

PMID16736003
PMCPMC2361333
OpenAlexW1968086675

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.