Evidence map›Paper›PMID 16585533›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2006

Thousands of samples are needed to generate a robust gene list for predicting outcome in cancer.

Liat Ein-Dor, Or Zuk, Eytan Domany

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2006. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 269 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
269citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

269 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  6. Development and validation of a quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction classifier for lung cancer prognosis.Journal of thoracic oncology : official publication of the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer · 2011
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209 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Liat Ein-DorDepartment of Physics of Complex Systems, The Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot 76100, Israel.
Or Zuk
Eytan Domany

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Predicting at the time of discovery the prognosis and metastatic potential of cancer is a major challenge in current clinical research. Numerous recent studies searched for gene expression signatures that outperform traditionally used clinical parameters in outcome prediction. Finding such a signature will free many patients of the suffering and toxicity associated with adjuvant chemotherapy given to them under current protocols, even though they do not need such treatment. A reliable set of predictive genes also will contribute to a better understanding of the biological mechanism of metastasis. Several groups have published lists of predictive genes and reported good predictive performance based on them. However, the gene lists obtained for the same clinical types of patients by different groups differed widely and had only very few genes in common. This lack of agreement raised doubts about the reliability and robustness of the reported predictive gene lists, and the main source of the problem was shown to be the small number of samples that were used to generate the gene lists. Here, we introduce a previously undescribed mathematical method, probably approximately correct (PAC) sorting, for evaluating the robustness of such lists. We calculate for several published data sets the number of samples that are needed to achieve any desired level of reproducibility. For example, to achieve a typical overlap of 50% between two predictive lists of genes, breast cancer studies would need the expression profiles of several thousand early discovery patients.

Indexed as

Gene Expression Regulation, NeoplasticTreatment OutcomeBreast NeoplasmsComputer SimulationFemaleGene Expression ProfilingHumansModels, GeneticNeoplasm ProteinsNeoplasmsPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisReproducibility of ResultsNeoplasm Proteins

Identifiers

PMID16585533
PMCPMC1458674

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.