Trial reportBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2006
Rate of over-diagnosis of breast cancer 15 years after end of Malmö mammographic screening trial: follow-up study.
Trial report in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2006. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 105 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
105 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Screening for breast cancer: a systematic review update to inform the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care guideline.Systematic reviews · 2024Pooled it
- Long term absence of invasive breast cancer diagnosis in 2,402,672 pre and postmenopausal women: A systematic review and meta-analysis.PloS one · 2020Pooled it
- Recommendations on screening for breast cancer in women aged 40-74 years who are not at increased risk for breast cancer.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2018Guideline
- Meta-analysis of breast cancer mortality benefit and overdiagnosis adjusted for adherence: improving information on the effects of attending screening mammography.British journal of cancer · 2016Pooled it
- Statistical analyses in Swedish randomised trials on mammography screening and in other randomised trials on cancer screening: a systematic review.Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2015Pooled it
- Quantifying and monitoring overdiagnosis in cancer screening: a systematic review of methods.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2015Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Screening for breast cancer: an update for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force.Annals of internal medicine · 2009Pooled it
- Increased breast cancer screening and downstaging in Colombian women: A randomized trial of opportunistic breast-screening.International journal of cancer · 2016Trial
- Twenty five year follow-up for breast cancer incidence and mortality of the Canadian National Breast Screening Study: randomised screening trial.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2014Trial
- Cost-effectiveness of expanding the target population of biennial screening for breast cancer from ages 50-69 to 45 and/or 74: A cohort modelling study in the Finnish setting.Health economics review · 2025Article
- Risk stratification by ultrasound and mammography for screen-detected non-palpable breast cancer in Chinese women.Frontiers in oncology · 2025Article
- Self-Selection Bias in Randomized and Observational Studies on Screening Mammography: A Quantitative Assessment.Clinical epidemiology · 2025Article
- The paradox of MRI for breast cancer screening: high-risk and dense breasts-available evidence and current practice.Insights into imaging · 2024Review
- The effects of breast density on the benefits of mammograms with adjunctive ultrasonography in breast screening.Breast cancer (Tokyo, Japan) · 2024Article
- Overdiagnosis Due to Screening Mammography for Breast Cancer among Women Aged 40 Years and Over: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Journal of personalized medicine · 2023Review
- Behaviour within a Clinical Trial and Implications for Mammography Guidelines.The Review of economic studies · 2023Article
- Article
- A case-control study to evaluate the impact of the breast screening programme on breast cancer incidence in England.Cancer medicine · 2023Article
- Advances in breast cancer screening modalities and status of global screening programs.Chronic diseases and translational medicine · 2022Review
45 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveTo evaluate the rate of over-diagnosis of breast cancer 15 years after the end of the Malmö mammographic screening trial.
designFollow-up study.
settingMalmö, Sweden. SUBJECTS: 42 283 women aged 45-69 years at randomisation.
interventionsScreening for breast cancer with mammography or not (controls). Screening was offered at the end of the randomisation design to both groups aged 45-54 at randomisation but not to groups aged 55-69 at randomisation.
main outcome measuresRate of over-diagnosis of breast cancer (in situ and invasive), calculated as incidence in the invited and control groups, during period of randomised design (period 1), during period after randomised design ended (period 2), and at end of follow-up.
resultsIn women aged 55-69 years at randomisation the relative rates of over-diagnosis of breast cancer (95% confidence intervals) were 1.32 (1.14 to 1.53) for period 1, 0.92 (0.79 to 1.06) for period 2, and 1.10 (0.99 to 1.22) at the end of follow-up.
conclusionConclusions on over-diagnosis of breast cancer in the Malmö mammographic screening trial can be drawn mainly for women aged 55-69 years at randomisation whose control groups were never screened. Fifteen years after the trial ended the rate of over-diagnosis of breast cancer was 10% in this age group.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.