Evidence map›Paper›PMID 16407143›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2006

Heterogeneous shedding of Escherichia coli O157 in cattle and its implications for control.

L Matthews, J C Low, D L Gally, M C Pearce, D J Mellor, J A P Heesterbeek, M Chase-Topping, S W Naylor, D J Shaw, S W J Reid and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2006. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 111 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
111citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

111 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Mechanisms of bacterial host-to-host transmission.Microbiology and molecular biology reviews : MMBR · 2025
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Optimizing contact tracing for avian influenza in poultry flocks.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Prevalence of Shiga Toxin-ProducingAnimals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2023
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Prevalence and Implications of Shiga Toxin-ProducingPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Evaluation of Cattle for Naturally Colonized Shiga Toxin-ProducingInternational journal of microbiology · 2021
    Article

51 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

L MatthewsCentre for Infectious Diseases, College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Easter Bush, Roslin, Midlothian EH25 9RG, United Kingdom. l.matthews@vet.gla.ac.uk
J C Low
D L Gally
M C Pearce
D J Mellor
J A P Heesterbeek
M Chase-Topping
S W Naylor
D J Shaw
S W J Reid
G J Gunn
M E J Woolhouse

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Identification of the relative importance of within- and between-host variability in infectiousness and the impact of these heterogeneities on the transmission dynamics of infectious agents can enable efficient targeting of control measures. Cattle, a major reservoir host for the zoonotic pathogen Escherichia coli O157, are known to exhibit a high degree of heterogeneity in bacterial shedding densities. By relating bacterial count to infectiousness and fitting dynamic epidemiological models to prevalence data from a cross-sectional survey of cattle farms in Scotland, we identify a robust pattern: approximately 80% of the transmission arises from the 20% most infectious individuals. We examine potential control options under a range of assumptions about within- and between-host variability in infection dynamics. Our results show that the within-herd basic reproduction ratio, R(0), could be reduced to <1 with targeted measures aimed at preventing infection in the 5% of individuals with the highest overall infectiousness. Alternatively, interventions such as vaccination or the use of probiotics that aim to reduce bacterial carriage could produce dramatic reductions in R(0) by preventing carriage at concentrations corresponding to the top few percent of the observed range of counts. We conclude that a greater understanding of the cause of the heterogeneity in bacterial carriage could lead to highly efficient control measures to reduce the prevalence of E. coli O157.

Indexed as

AnimalsCattleColony Count, MicrobialEscherichia coli InfectionsEscherichia coli O157Likelihood Functions

Identifiers

PMID16407143
PMCPMC1325964

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.