ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2005
Imitation dynamics predict vaccinating behaviour.
Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2005. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 129 papers.
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Who cites it
129 citing papers in PubMed.
- A Cost-Sensitive Behavioral Modeling Analysis of the Early Identification and Control of Infectious Diseases.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2026Article
- Epidemiological impacts of nonpharmaceutical interventions are modulated by immunity exposure trade offs.Communications medicine · 2026Article
- Vaccination games of boundedly rational parents toward new childhood immunization.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Insecticide-treated net use and elimination of malaria in Sub-Saharan African countries: assessing the Global Technical Strategy using an evolutionary game approach.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Social imitation dynamics of vaccination driven by vaccine effectiveness and beliefs.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Impact of opinion dynamics on recurrent pandemic waves: balancing risk aversion and peer pressure.Interface focus · 2025Article
- Optimal vaccination policy to prevent endemicity: a stochastic model.Journal of mathematical biology · 2024Article
- Social dilemma of nonpharmaceutical interventions: Determinants of dynamic compliance and behavioral shifts.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Social learning with complex contagion.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- The evolution of post-infection mortality.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Adaptive human behaviour modulates the impact of immune life history and vaccination on long-term epidemic dynamics.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Article
- Influence of waning immunity on vaccination decision-making: A multi-strain epidemic model with an evolutionary approach analyzing cost and efficacy.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024Article
- Impact of waning immunity against SARS-CoV-2 severity exacerbated by vaccine hesitancy.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Assessing the instantaneous social dilemma on social distancing attitudes and vaccine behavior in disease control.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Modelling the dynamic vaccination game with evolutionary feedback: exploring pairwise interactions and vaccine strategies.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Simple economics of vaccination: public policies and incentives.International journal of health economics and management · 2024Article
- Predicting Covid-19 pandemic waves with biologically and behaviorally informed universal differential equations.Heliyon · 2024Article
- The majority of Canadians likely behaved as myopic rationalists rather than success-based learners when deciding on their first dose of COVID-19 vaccine.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Article
69 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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1 author.
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Abstract
There exists an interplay between vaccine coverage, disease prevalence and the vaccinating behaviour of individuals. Moreover, because of herd immunity, there is also a strategic interaction between individuals when they are deciding whether or not to vaccinate, because the probability that an individual becomes infected depends upon how many other individuals are vaccinated. To understand this potentially complex interplay, a game dynamic model is developed in which individuals adopt strategies according to an imitation dynamic (a learning process), and base vaccination decisions on disease prevalence and perceived risks of vaccines and disease. The model predicts that oscillations in vaccine uptake are more likely in populations where individuals imitate others more readily or where vaccinating behaviour is more sensitive to changes in disease prevalence. Oscillations are also more likely when the perceived risk of vaccines is high. The model reproduces salient features of the time evolution of vaccine uptake and disease prevalence during the whole-cell pertussis vaccine scare in England and Wales during the 1970s. This suggests that using game theoretical models to predict, and even manage, the population dynamics of vaccinating behaviour may be feasible.
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