Evidence map›Paper›PMID 16046688›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2005

Public health measures to reduce smoking prevalence in the UK: how many lives could be saved?

S Lewis, D Arnott, C Godfrey, J Britton

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2005. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Prevalence and demographic factors of smoking in Morocco.International journal of public health · 2009
    Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

S LewisDivision of Epidemiology and Public Health, City Hospital, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG5 1PB, UK.
D Arnott
C Godfrey
J Britton

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the number of deaths that could be prevented in the UK by implementing population strategies to reduce smoking prevalence.

designA prospective analysis of future mortality using recent national smoking prevalence data and relative risks of mortality in current smokers, ex-smokers, and never-smokers. POPULATION: Smokers in the UK.

interventionsPopulation measures of proven effectiveness assumed to reduce smoking prevalence by 1 percentage point per year for 10 years, or alternatively by 13% over 19 years (1 percentage point per annum for seven years, 0.5 percentage point per annum for 12 years) as considered to be achievable in a recent report to the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer.

main outcome measureEstimated deaths from smoking prevented in the 35-75 year age group.

resultsReducing the prevalence of smoking by 1 percentage point each year for 10 years would prevent 69 049 deaths at ages between 35 and 74 years during that period. The model of reduction by 13% over 19 years would prevent 54 308 and 194 493 deaths in 10 and 19 years, respectively. Continued prevalence reductions at the current rate of 0.4 percentage points each year will prevent 23 192 deaths over 10 years.

conclusionsFull implementation of simple population measures to encourage smoking cessation could prevent substantial numbers of deaths in the UK.

Indexed as

Public HealthSmoking CessationAdultAgedFemaleHealth PromotionHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceProspective StudiesSmokingSmoking PreventionUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID16046688
PMCPMC1748066

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.