ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2005
Pathogen adaptation to seasonal forcing and climate change.
Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2005. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 52 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
52 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Challenges in developing methods for quantifying the effects of weather and climate on water-associated diseases: A systematic review.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2017Pooled it
- Eco-Evolutionary Dynamics of Pathogen Epidemic Timing in a Seasonal Environment.Ecology letters · 2026Article
- Mechanisms underlying the impact of environmental factors (physical, ecological, social) on infectious diseases.One health outlook · 2026Review
- Article
- The Effect of Climate Change on Emergence and Evolution of Zoonotic Diseases in Asia.Zoonoses and public health · 2025Review
- Interconnecting global threats: climate change, biodiversity loss, and infectious diseases.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2024Review
- The concern about main crises such as the Covid-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and climate change's impact on energy-saving behavior.Energy policy · 2023Article
- How do fluctuating ecological dynamics impact the evolution of hosts and parasites?Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023Review
- Scaling effects of temperature on parasitism from individuals to populations.The Journal of animal ecology · 2022Review
- Evolution of class-structured populations in periodic environments.Evolution; international journal of organic evolution · 2022Article
- Elevating Air Temperature May Enhance Future Epidemic Risk of the Plant PathogenJournal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Molecular characterization ofIranian journal of microbiology · 2021Article
- The roles of environmental variation and parasite survival in virulence-transmission relationships.Royal Society open science · 2021Review
- Movement can mediate temporal mismatches between resource availability and biological events in host-pathogen interactions.Ecology and evolution · 2021Article
- Epidemiological and evolutionary consequences of periodicity in treatment coverage.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2021Article
- A Multifaceted Action of Phytochrome B in Plant Environmental Adaptation.Frontiers in plant science · 2021Review
- Cholera Risk: A Machine Learning Approach Applied to Essential Climate Variables.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Thermal thresholds heighten sensitivity of West Nile virus transmission to changing temperatures in coastal California.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2020Article
- The evolution of host resistance and parasite infectivity is highest in seasonal resource environments that oscillate at intermediate amplitudes.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2020Article
- The Prevalence of Endoparasites of Free Ranging Cats (Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Many diverse infectious diseases exhibit seasonal dynamics. Seasonality in disease incidence has been attributed to seasonal changes in pathogen transmission rates, resulting from fluctuations in extrinsic climate factors. Multi-strain infectious diseases with strain-specific seasonal signatures, such as cholera, indicate that a range of seasonal patterns in transmission rates is possible in identical environments. We therefore consider pathogens capable of evolving their 'seasonal phenotype', a trait that determines the sensitivity of their transmission rates to environmental variability. We introduce a theoretical framework, based on adaptive dynamics, for predicting the evolution of disease dynamics in seasonal environments. Changes in the seasonality of environmental factors are one important avenue for the effects of climate change on disease. This model also provides a framework for examining these effects on pathogen evolution and associated disease dynamics. An application of this approach gives an explanation for the recent cholera strain replacement in Bangladesh, based on changes in monsoon rainfall patterns.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.