Evidence map›Paper›PMID 15972300›Full record

ArticleGut2006

Anticipation in familial pancreatic cancer.

C D McFaul, W Greenhalf, J Earl, N Howes, J P Neoptolemos, R Kress, M Sina-Frey, H Rieder, S Hahn, D K Bartsch and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gut, 2006. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. [Pancreatic cancer-screening or surveillance?]Radiologie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2023
    Review
  3. [Familial pancreatic cancer syndrome].Chirurgie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2023
    Review
  4. Current status of inherited pancreatic cancer.Hereditary cancer in clinical practice · 2022
    Review
  5. Hereditary pancreatic cancer.International journal of clinical oncology · 2021
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Early detection of pancreatic cancer.The lancet. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2020
    Review
  9. Familial Pancreatic Cancer: Current Perspectives.Cancer management and research · 2020
    Review
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Familial pancreatic cancer: Concept, management and issues.World journal of gastroenterology · 2017
    Review
  15. Surveillance for neoplasia in the pancreas.Best practice & research. Clinical gastroenterology · 2016
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Genetic predisposition to pancreatic cancer.World journal of gastroenterology · 2014
    Review
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

C D McFaulDivision of Surgery and Oncology, University of Liverpool L69 3GA, UK.
W Greenhalf
J Earl
N Howes
J P Neoptolemos
R Kress
M Sina-Frey
H Rieder
S Hahn
D K Bartsch
European Registry of Hereditary Pancreatitis and Familial Pancreatic Cancer (EUROPAC)
German National Case Collection for Familial Pancreatic Cancer (FaPaCa)

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrevious studies of anticipation in familial pancreatic cancer have been small and subject to ascertainment bias. Our aim was to determine evidence for anticipation in a large number of European families. PATIENTS AND

methodsA total of 1223 individuals at risk from 106 families (264 affected individuals) were investigated. Generation G3 was defined as the latest generation that included any individual aged over 39 years; preceding generations were then defined as G2 and G1.

resultsWith 80 affected child-parent pairs, the children died a median (interquartile range) of 10 (7, 14) years earlier. The median (interquartile range) age of death from pancreatic cancer was 70 (59, 77), 64 (57, 69), and 49 (44, 56) years for G1, G2, and G3, respectively. These indications of anticipation could be the result of bias. Truncation of Kaplan-Meier analysis to a 60 year period to correct for follow up time bias and a matched test statistic indicated significant anticipation (p=0.002 and p<0.001). To minimise bias further, an iterative analysis to predict cancer numbers was developed. No single risk category could be applied that accurately predicted cancer cases in every generation. Using three risk categories (low with no pancreatic cancer in earlier generations, high with a single earlier generation, and very high where two preceding generations were affected), incidence was estimated without significant error. Anticipation was independent of smoking.

conclusionThis study provides the first strong evidence for anticipation in familial pancreatic cancer and must be considered in genetic counselling and the commencement of secondary screening for pancreatic cancer.

Indexed as

Anticipation, GeneticAdultAgedEpidemiologic MethodsEuropeFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansLongevityMaleMiddle AgedNeoplastic Syndromes, HereditaryPancreatic NeoplasmsPedigreeSmoking

Identifiers

PMID15972300
PMCPMC1856528

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.