Evidence map›Paper›PMID 15304199›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2004

Epidemiological evidence of higher susceptibility to vCJD in the young.

Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Jean-Yves Cesbron, Alain-Jacques Valleron

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2004. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Risk of transmission of sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease by surgical procedures: systematic reviews and quality of evidence.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2017
    Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Variant CJD: Reflections a Quarter of a Century on.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021
    Review
  4. Review
  5. How do PrPPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2017
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Heterogeneous shedding of Escherichia coli O157 in cattle and its implications for control.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2006
    Article
  16. Article
  17. New approaches to quantifying the spread of infection.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2005
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Pierre-Yves BoëlleINSERM U444, Assistance Publique Hôpitaux de Paris, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France. boelle@u444.jussieu.fr
Jean-Yves Cesbron
Alain-Jacques Valleron

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe strikingly young age of new variant Creutzfeldt-Jacob disease (vCJD) cases remains unexplained. Age dependent susceptibility to infection has been put forward, but differential dietary exposure to contaminated food products in the UK population according to age and sex during the bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) epidemic may provide a simpler explanation.

methodsUsing recently published estimates of dietary exposure in mathematical models of the epidemiology of the new variant Creutzfeldt Jacob disease (vCJD), we examine whether the age characteristics of vCJD cases may be reproduced.

resultsThe susceptibility/exposure risk function has likely peaked in adolescents and was followed by a sharp decrease with age, evocative of the profile of exposure to bovine material consumption according to age. However, assuming that the risk of contamination was proportional to exposure, with no age dependent susceptibility, the model failed to reproduce the observed age characteristics of the vCJD cases: The predicted cumulated proportion of cases over 40 years was 48%, in strong disagreement with the observed 10%. Incorporating age dependent susceptibility led to a cumulated proportion of cases over 40 years old of 12%.

conclusionsThis analysis provides evidence that differential dietary exposure alone fails to explain the pattern of age in vCJD cases. Decreasing age related susceptibility is required to reproduce the characteristics of the age distribution of vCJD cases.

Indexed as

DietAdolescentAdultAge FactorsChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesCreutzfeldt-Jakob SyndromeDisease SusceptibilityFemaleHumansInfantMaleModels, BiologicalSex Factors

Identifiers

PMID15304199
PMCPMC514608

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.