Evidence map›Paper›PMID 14965400›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners2004

Predicting complications from acute cough in pre-school children in primary care: a prospective cohort study.

Alastair D Hay, Tom Fahey, Tim J Peters, Andrew Wilson

Open access · greenAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners, 2004. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Amoxicillin for acute lower respiratory tract infection in primary care: subgroup analysis of potential high-risk groups.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2014
    Trial
  2. Amoxicillin for acute lower respiratory tract infection in primary care: subgroup analysis by bacterial and viral aetiology.Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases · 2018
    Article
  3. Influence of the duration of penicillin prescriptions on outcomes for acute sore throat in adults: the DESCARTE prospective cohort study in UK general practice.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2017
    Article
  4. Observational
  5. The Diagnosis of Urinary Tract Infection in Young Children (DUTY) Study Clinical Rule: Economic Evaluation.Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research · 2017
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Observational
  10. Validation of a clinical rule to predict complications of acute cough in preschool children: a prospective study in primary care.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2007
    Article
  11. The case of 'protective fever and chest signs': towards a better understanding of general practice databases.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2007
    Article
  12. The use of infrared thermometry for the detection of fever.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2004
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Diagnosing coughs and colds.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2004
    Article
  15. Is dyspraxia a medical condition or a social disorder?The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2004
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Alastair D HayHealth Services Research, Division of Primary Health Care, University of Bristol, Cotham Hill, Bristol. alastair.hay@bristol.ac.uk
Tom Fahey
Tim J Peters
Andrew Wilson
University of Bristol · GBPrimary Health Care · QA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere is uncertainty about which children with cough are most and least likely to experience complications.

aimTo derive a clinical prediction rule for complications in pre-school children presenting to primary care with acute cough. DESIGN OF STUDY: Prospective cohort study.

settingEight general practices in Leicestershire, United Kingdom.

methodPre-school children with cough for < or =28 days and without asthma were recruited. Sociodemographic, clinical history, and examination data were collected and univariable logistic regression used to explore the associations with complications. These were defined as any new symptom, sign or diagnosis identified by a primary care clinician at a parent initiated reconsultation, or hospital admission, before cough resolution. Those factors with stronger relationships (P< 0.2) were then modelled using multivariable logistic regression to identify the factors independently associated with complications.

resultsThe pre-test probability of complications was 10%. On univariable analysis, fever (odds ratio [OR] = 4.86; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.74 to 13.6), chest signs (OR = 2.72; CI = 1.06 to 6.96), and tachypnoea (OR = 3.80; CI = 1.22 to 11.8) were associated with complications. On multivariable analysis, only fever (OR = 5.56; CI = 1.75 to 17.6) and chest signs (OR = 2.88; CI = 1.02 to 8.05) were independently associated with complications. These ORs translate into post-test probabilities of complications of 6% for children with neither fever nor chest signs, 18% for children with chest signs, 28% for children with fever, and 40% for children with fever and chest signs.

conclusionsIf validated, this clinical prediction rule could be used to individualise the management of acute cough in pre-school children.

Indexed as

Acute DiseaseAnti-Bacterial AgentsChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesCoughData CollectionEnglandFamily PracticeFemaleHumansInfantMalePredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesAnti-Bacterial Agents

Identifiers

PMID14965400
PMCPMC1314771
OpenAlexW1772680619

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.