Evidence map›Paper›PMID 14687273›Full record

Trial reportJournal of general internal medicine2003

A randomized comparison of patients' understanding of number needed to treat and other common risk reduction formats.

Stacey L Sheridan, Michael P Pignone, Carmen L Lewis

Open access · bronzeAbstract readClinical TrialComparative StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of general internal medicine, 2003. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
23.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 183 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Communicating risk using absolute risk reduction or prolongation of life formats: cluster-randomised trial in general practice.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2014
    Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Therapeutic decisions by number needed to treat and survival gains: a cross-sectional survey of lipid-lowering drug recommendations.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2011
    Trial
  7. Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Effective communication regarding risk of fracture for individuals at risk of fragility fracture: a scoping review.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Translating Cancer Risk Prediction Models into Personalized Cancer Risk Assessment Tools: Stumbling Blocks and Strategies for Success.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2020
    Article
  15. Number needed to treat: A primer for neurointerventionalists.Interventional neuroradiology : journal of peritherapeutic neuroradiology, surgical procedures and related neurosciences · 2019
    Article
  16. How to communicate evidence to patients.Drug and therapeutics bulletin · 2019
    Review
  17. Side Effect Perceptions and Their Impact on Treatment Decisions in Women.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2017
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Stacey L SheridanDivision of General Medicine and Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA. ssherida@e-mail.unc.edu
Michael P Pignone
Carmen L Lewis
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · US

Funding

BHP HRSA HHS PE 14001-14
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCommentators have suggested that patients may understand quantitative information about treatment benefits better when they are presented as numbers needed to treat (NNT) rather than as absolute or relative risk reductions.

objectiveTo determine whether NNT helps patients interpret treatment benefits better than absolute risk reduction (ARR), relative risk reduction (RRR), or a combination of all three of these risk reduction presentations (COMBO).

designRandomized cross-sectional survey.

settingUniversity internal medicine clinic. PATIENTS: Three hundred fifty-seven men and women, ages 50 to 80, who presented for health care.

interventionsSubjects were given written information about the baseline risk of a hypothetical "disease Y" and were asked (1) to compare the benefits of two drug treatments for disease Y, stating which provided more benefit; and (2) to calculate the effect of one of those drug treatments on a given baseline risk of disease. Risk information was presented to each subject in one of four randomly allocated risk formats: NNT, ARR, RRR, or COMBO. MAIN

resultsWhen asked to state which of two treatments provided more benefit, subjects who received the RRR format responded correctly most often (60% correct vs 43% for COMBO, 42% for ARR, and 30% for NNT, P =.001). Most subjects were unable to calculate the effect of drug treatment on the given baseline risk of disease, although subjects receiving the RRR and ARR formats responded correctly more often (21% and 17% compared to 7% for COMBO and 6% for NNT, P =.004).

conclusionPatients are best able to interpret the benefits of treatment when they are presented in an RRR format with a given baseline risk of disease. ARR also is easily interpreted. NNT is often misinterpreted by patients and should not be used alone to communicate risk to patients.

Indexed as

ComprehensionRiskAgedAged, 80 and overCross-Sectional StudiesData Interpretation, StatisticalFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID14687273
PMCPMC1494938
OpenAlexW2005224329

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.