Evidence map›Paper›PMID 14644970›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2003

Coronary heart disease prevention: insights from modelling incremental cost effectiveness.

Tom Marshall

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2003. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Journal of managed care & specialty pharmacy · 2020
    Review
  2. Why is my hypertensive patient still not controlled?High blood pressure & cardiovascular prevention : the official journal of the Italian Society of Hypertension · 2015
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. The polypill: at what price would it become cost effective?Journal of epidemiology and community health · 2006
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. The case for statins: has it really been made?Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2004
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Tom MarshallDepartment of Public Health and Epidemiology, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT. T.P.Marshall@bham.ac.uk

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo determine which treatments for preventing coronary heart disease should be offered to which patients by assessing their incremental cost effectiveness.

designModelling study. DATA SOURCES: Cost estimates (for NHS) and estimates of effectiveness obtained for aspirin, antihypertensive drugs, statins and clopidogrel. DATA SYNTHESIS: Treatment effects were assumed to be independent, and cost per coronary event prevented was calculated for treatments individually and in combination across patients at a range of coronary risks.

resultsThe most cost effective preventive treatments are aspirin, initial antihypertensive treatment (bendrofluazide and atenolol), and intensive antihypertensive treatment (bendrofluazide, atenolol and enalapril), whereas simvastatin and clopidogrel are the least cost effective (cost per coronary event prevented in a patient at 10% coronary risk over five years is 3500 pounds sterling for aspirin, 12 500 pounds sterling for initial antihypertensives, 18 300 pounds sterling for intensive antihypertensives, 60 000 pounds sterling for clopidogrel, and 61 400 pounds sterling for simvastatin). Aspirin in a patient at 5% five year coronary risk costs less than a fifth as much per event prevented (7900 pounds sterling) as simvastatin in a patient at 30% five year risk (40 800 pounds sterling). DISCUSSION: A cost effective prevention strategy would offer aspirin and initial antihypertensive treatment to all patients at greater than 7.5% five year coronary risk before offering statins or clopidogrel to patients at greater than 15% five year coronary risk. Incremental cost effectiveness analysis of treatments produces robust, practical cost effectiveness rankings that can be used to inform treatment guidelines.

Indexed as

Antihypertensive AgentsCoronary DiseaseCost-Benefit AnalysisDrug CostsDrug Therapy, CombinationHumansHypolipidemic AgentsModels, EconomicPlatelet Aggregation InhibitorsRisk FactorsSimvastatinAntihypertensive AgentsHypolipidemic AgentsPlatelet Aggregation InhibitorsSimvastatin

Identifiers

PMID14644970
PMCPMC286247

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.