Evidence map›Paper›PMID 14512488›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2003

Simple tools for understanding risks: from innumeracy to insight.

Gerd Gigerenzer, Adrian Edwards

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2003. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 176 papers, 9 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
176citing papers in PubMed, 9 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

176 citing papers in PubMed, 9 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Positive predictive values of ≥5% in primary care for cancer: systematic review.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2010
    Pooled it
  7. Guideline
  8. Pooled it
  9. A systematic review of postcoital bleeding and risk of cervical cancer.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2006
    Pooled it
  10. Trial
  11. Trial
  12. A new graphical format to communicate treatment effects to patients-A web-based randomized controlled trial.Health expectations : an international journal of public participation in health care and health policy · 2017
    Trial
  13. Shared decision-making following disclosure of coronary heart disease genetic risk: results from a randomized clinical trial.Journal of investigative medicine : the official publication of the American Federation for Clinical Research · 2017
    Trial
  14. Trial
  15. Trial
  16. Combined verbal and numerical expressions increase perceived risk of medicine side-effects: a randomized controlled trial of EMA recommendations.Health expectations : an international journal of public participation in health care and health policy · 2016
    Trial
  17. Trial
  18. Communicating risk using absolute risk reduction or prolongation of life formats: cluster-randomised trial in general practice.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2014
    Trial
  19. Trial
  20. Trial

116 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Gerd GigerenzerCentre for Adaptive Behaviour and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Lentzeallee 94, 14195 Berlin, Germany. gigerenzer@mpibberlin.mpg.de
Adrian Edwards

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

PubMed holds no abstract for this paper.

Indexed as

Risk AssessmentData DisplayHumansPatient Education as TopicPatient ParticipationProbability TheorySensitivity and SpecificityProfessional Patient Relationship

Identifiers

PMID14512488
PMCPMC200816

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.