ArticleJournal of epidemiology and community health2003
Mortality and temperature in Sofia and London.
Article in Journal of epidemiology and community health, 2003. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 56 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
56 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Global Health Impacts for Economic Models of Climate Change: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Annals of the American Thoracic Society · 2022Pooled it
- A time series study on the effects of heat on mortality and evaluation of heterogeneity into European and Eastern-Southern Mediterranean cities: results of EU CIRCE project.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2013Pooled it
- Daily average temperature and mortality among the elderly: a meta-analysis and systematic review of epidemiological evidence.International journal of biometeorology · 2012Pooled it
- Effect of influenza vaccination on excess deaths occurring during periods of high circulation of influenza: cohort study in elderly people.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2004Trial
- Mapping the global health burden of climate-sensitive exposures: a systematic scoping review.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2026Article
- The association of extreme environmental heat with incidence and outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in British Columbia: A time series analysis.Resuscitation plus · 2024Article
- The interactive effects of extreme temperatures and PMScientific reports · 2023Article
- Thunderstorms, Pollen, and Severe Asthma in a Midwestern, USA, Urban Environment, 2007-2018.Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2022Article
- Mortality Related to Air Temperature in European Cities, Based on Threshold Regression Models.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- The impact of extreme temperatures on human mortality in the most populated cities of Romania.International journal of biometeorology · 2022Article
- Summer temperature and all-cause mortality from 2006 to 2015 for Hyderabad, India.African health sciences · 2021Article
- Mortality attributable to heat and cold among the elderly in Sofia, Bulgaria.International journal of biometeorology · 2021Article
- Association between ambient temperature and daily emergency hospitalizations for acute coronary syndrome in Yancheng, China.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2020Article
- Effects of extreme temperatures on cerebrovascular mortality in Lisbon: a distributed lag non-linear model.International journal of biometeorology · 2019Article
- The non-linear and lagged short-term relationship between rainfall and leptospirosis and the intermediate role of floods in the Philippines.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2018Article
- Estimated Effect of Temperature on Years of Life Lost: A Retrospective Time-Series Study of Low-, Middle-, and High-Income Regions.Environmental health perspectives · 2018Article
- The health effects of hotter summers and heat waves in the population of the United Kingdom: a review of the evidence.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2017Review
- What drives cold-related excess mortality in a south Asian tropical monsoon climate-season vs. temperatures and diurnal temperature changes.International journal of biometeorology · 2017Article
- Temperature Observation Time and Type Influence Estimates of Heat-Related Mortality in Seven U.S. Cities.Environmental health perspectives · 2016Article
- Assessment of Short- and Long-Term Mortality Displacement in Heat-Related Deaths in Brisbane, Australia, 1996-2004.Environmental health perspectives · 2015Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
STUDY
objectiveHeat and cold have been associated with increased mortality, independently of seasonal trends, but details are little known. This study explores associations between mortality and temperature in two European capitals-Sofia and London-using four years of daily deaths, air pollution, and weather data.
designGeneralised additive models were used to permit non-linear modelling of confounders such as season and humidity, and to show the shape of mortality-temperature relations-using both two day and two week average temperatures separately. Models with linear terms for heat and cold were used to estimate lags of effect, linear effects, and attributable fractions.
participants44701 all age all cause deaths in Sofia (1996-1999) and 256464 in London (1993-1996). MAIN
resultsIn London, for each degree of extreme cold (below the 10th centile of the two week mean temperature), mortality increased by 4.2% (95% CI 3.4 to 5.1), and in Sofia by 1.8% (0.6 to 3.9). For each degree rise above the 95th centile of the two day mean, mortality increased by 1.9% (1.4 to 2.4) in London, and 3.5% (2.2 to 4.8) in Sofia. Cold effects appeared after lags of around three days and lasted-particularly in London-at least two weeks. Main heat effects occurred more promptly. There were inverse associations at later lags for heat and cold in Sofia.
conclusionsAverage temperatures over short periods do not adequately model cold, and may be inadequate for heat if they ignore harvesting effects. Cold temperatures in London, particularly, seem to harm the general population and the effects are not concentrated among persons close to death.
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