Evidence map›Paper›PMID 12781535›Full record

ArticleLancet (London, England)2003

Clinical progression and viral load in a community outbreak of coronavirus-associated SARS pneumonia: a prospective study.

J S M Peiris, C M Chu, V C C Cheng, K S Chan, I F N Hung, L L M Poon, K I Law, B S F Tang, T Y W Hon, C S Chan and 8 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet (London, England), 2003. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04441502 (Identification of Predictors for the Evolution of COVID-19 Related Interstitial Pneumonia by Transcriptomic and Seroproteomic Techniques), which is not on this map. Cited by 1,428 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1,428citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04441502 unknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2020, after this paper: background citation

Identification of Predictors for the Evolution of COVID-19 Related Interstitial Pneumonia by Transcriptomic and Seroproteomic Techniques

TypeobservationalSponsorIRCCS Policlinico S. DonatoRan2020 to 2024Enrolled204ConditionsCovid19, Interstitial Pneumonia
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1,428 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Effect of high-doseFrontiers in immunology · 2024
    Trial
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  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Natural SARS-CoV-2 infection in farmed minksFrontiers in veterinary science · 2026
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Socioecology and Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Quilombolas Living in the Brazilian Amazon.American journal of human biology : the official journal of the Human Biology Council · 2025
    Article

1,368 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

J S M PeirisDepartment of Microbiology, Queen Mary Hospital, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Special Administrative Region, China.
C M Chu
V C C Cheng
K S Chan
I F N Hung
L L M Poon
K I Law
B S F Tang
T Y W Hon
C S Chan
K H Chan
J S C Ng
B J Zheng
W L Ng
R W M Lai
Y Guan
K Y Yuen
HKU/UCH SARS Study Group

Funding

PHS HHS A195357Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe investigated the temporal progression of the clinical, radiological, and virological changes in a community outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS).

methodsWe followed up 75 patients for 3 weeks managed with a standard treatment protocol of ribavirin and corticosteroids, and assessed the pattern of clinical disease, viral load, risk factors for poor clinical outcome, and the usefulness of virological diagnostic methods.

findingsFever and pneumonia initially improved but 64 (85%) patients developed recurrent fever after a mean of 8.9 (SD 3.1) days, 55 (73%) had watery diarrhoea after 7.5 (2.3) days, 60 (80%) had radiological worsening after 7.4 (2.2) days, and respiratory symptoms worsened in 34 (45%) after 8.6 (3.0) days. In 34 (45%) patients, improvement of initial pulmonary lesions was associated with appearance of new radiological lesions at other sites. Nine (12%) patients developed spontaneous pneumomediastinum and 15 (20%) developed acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in week 3. Quantitative reverse-transcriptase (RT) PCR of nasopharyngeal aspirates in 14 patients (four with ARDS) showed peak viral load at day 10, and at day 15 a load lower than at admission. Age and chronic hepatitis B virus infection treated with lamivudine were independent significant risk factors for progression to ARDS (p=0.001). SARS-associated coronavirus in faeces was seen on RT-PCR in 65 (97%) of 67 patients at day 14. The mean time to seroconversion was 20 days.

interpretationThe consistent clinical progression, shifting radiological infiltrates, and an inverted V viral-load profile suggest that worsening in week 2 is unrelated to uncontrolled viral replication but may be related to immunopathological damage.

Indexed as

Administration, OralAdultAgedAmoxicillin-Potassium Clavulanate CombinationDisease OutbreaksDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansInfusions, IntravenousLength of StayLungMaleMiddle AgedOfloxacinPregnancyAmoxicillin-Potassium Clavulanate CombinationOfloxacin

Identifiers

PMID12781535
PMCPMC7112410

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.