Evidence map›Paper›PMID 12730741›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2003

Contribution of clinical risk factors to bone density-based absolute fracture risk assessment in postmenopausal women.

W D Leslie, C Metge, L Ward

Abstract read
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Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2003. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Vertebral anti-fracture efficacy of strontium ranelate according to pre-treatment bone turnover.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2010
    Pooled it
  3. Appropriate osteoporosis treatment by family physicians in response to FRAX vs CAROC reporting: results from a randomized controlled trial.Journal of clinical densitometry : the official journal of the International Society for Clinical Densitometry
    Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Fracture prediction and calibration of a Canadian FRAX® tool: a population-based report from CaMos.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2011
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Factors predicting osteoporosis treatment initiation in a regionally based cohort.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2009
    Article
  10. Association between change in BMD and fragility fracture in women and men.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2009
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. T-plus Z-score in the assessment of relative fracture risk.Wiener medizinische Wochenschrift (1946) · 2007
    Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

W D LeslieDepartment of Medicine and Radiology (C5121), University of Manitoba, 409 Tache Avenue, R2H 2A6, Winnipeg, Canada. bleslie@sbgh.mb.ca
C Metge
L Ward

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Hip fractures are independently associated with advancing age, specific clinical risk factors (CRFs), and low bone mineral density (BMD). The use of BMD T-scores for quantifying fracture risk ignores the contribution of age and CRFs. We previously developed a mathematical model of absolute hip fracture risk that incorporates patient age, BMD, and the results of eleven specific CRFs. The purpose of this study was to compare the contribution of an approach to fracture risk stratification using the full model (age, CRFs and BMD) with that of a unidimensional BMD-only model. We selected 213 consecutive postmenopausal females (mean age 65.3, range 50-87.9) with CRF data referred for BMD assessment of fracture risk. Absolute hip fracture risk (over the next 5 years and remaining lifetime) was estimated using both the full and BMD-only models. The mean ratio of absolute hip fracture risks (BMD-only/full model) derived for each patient was 0.8 (95% CI, 0.16-4.0) for hip fracture in the next 5 years and 1.1 (CI, 0.1-7.6) for remaining lifetime. The wide confidence intervals indicate a large contribution of age and CRFs to fracture risk stratification. Categorization of women as "high risk" was frequently discordant for the two models. One-half of the women designated "high risk" under the full model were classified as "low risk" based upon BMD alone. In conclusion, we have shown that a multidimensional approach to hip fracture risk stratification is feasible, and greatly modifies risk stratification based on BMD alone.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overBone DensityFemaleHip FracturesHumansLinear ModelsMass ScreeningMiddle AgedOsteoporosis, PostmenopausalProportional Hazards ModelsRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.