SynthesisSports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.)2003
Secular trends in the performance of children and adolescents (1980-2000): an analysis of 55 studies of the 20m shuttle run test in 11 countries.
Synthesis in Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.), 2003. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 133 papers, 12 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
133 citing papers in PubMed, 12 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 466 citations in OpenAlex.
- Exercise training modalities for cardiorespiratory fitness and blood pressure in children and adolescents with obesity: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2026Pooled it
- Factors affecting maximal oxygen uptake in prepubertal children: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC pediatrics · 2024Pooled it
- Physical activity interventions for cardiopulmonary fitness in obese children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC pediatrics · 2023Pooled it
- Temporal Trends in the Standing Broad Jump Performance of 10,940,801 Children and Adolescents Between 1960 and 2017.Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2021Pooled it
- An Update on Secular Trends in Physical Fitness of Children and Adolescents from 1972 to 2015: A Systematic Review.Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2021Pooled it
- Temporal Trends in the Handgrip Strength of 2,592,714 Adults from 14 Countries Between 1960 and 2017: A Systematic Analysis.Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2020Pooled it
- Temporal Trends in the Cardiorespiratory Fitness of 2,525,827 Adults Between 1967 and 2016: A Systematic Review.Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2019Pooled it
- Muscle Strength and Fitness in Pediatric Obesity: a Systematic Review from the European Childhood Obesity Group.Obesity facts · 2016Pooled it
- What Is the Relationship between Outdoor Time and Physical Activity, Sedentary Behaviour, and Physical Fitness in Children? A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2015Pooled it
- The health benefits of muscular fitness for children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2014Pooled it
- Temporal trends and correlates of physical activity, sedentary behaviour, and physical fitness among school-aged children in Sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2014Pooled it
- Temporal changes in long-distance running performance of Asian children between 1964 and 2009.Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2012Pooled it
- Trial
- Impact on Physical Fitness of the Chinese CHAMPS: A Clustered Randomized Controlled Trial.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Trial
- Improving Physical Fitness and Cognitive Functions in Middle School Students: Study Protocol for the Chinese Childhood Health, Activity and Motor Performance Study (Chinese CHAMPS).International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018Trial
- Tracking the relationship between children's aerobic fitness and cognitive control.Health psychology : official journal of the Division of Health Psychology, American Psychological Association · 2016Trial
- Trial
- The effect of active video games by ethnicity, sex and fitness: subgroup analysis from a randomised controlled trial.The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity · 2014Trial
- Trial
- Physical education and blood lipid concentrations in children: the LOOK randomized cluster trial.PloS one · 2013Trial
73 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
It is widely believed that the performance of children and adolescents on aerobic fitness tests is declining. To test this hypothesis, this meta-analysis compared the results of 55 reports of the performance of children and adolescents aged 6-19 years who have used the 20m shuttle run test (20mSRT). All data were collected in the period 1981-2000. Following corrections for methodological variation, the results of all studies were expressed using the common metric of running speed (km/h) at the last completed stage. Raw data were combined with pseudodata generated from reported means and standard deviations using Monte Carlo simulation. Where data were available on children and adolescents from the same country of the same age and sex, but tested at different times, linear regression was used to calculate rates of change. This was possible for 11 (mainly developed) countries, representing a total of 129,882 children and adolescents in 151 age x sex x country slices. There has been a significant decline in performance in the 11 countries where data were available, and in most age x sex groups, with a sample-weighted mean decline of 0.43% of mean values per year. The decline was most marked in older age groups and the rate of decline was similar for boys and girls. There has been a very rapid secular decline in the 20mSRT performance of children and adolescents over the last 20 years, at least in developed countries. The rate of decline is not related to the change in the country's relative wealth, as quantified by per capita gross domestic product (GDP).
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.