Evidence map›Paper›PMID 12457422›Full record

ArticlePharmacoEconomics2002

Returns on research and development for 1990s new drug introductions.

Henry Grabowski, John Vernon, Joseph A DiMasi

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in PharmacoEconomics, 2002. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Why is the market design for innovative pharmaceuticals not well understood?Journal of comparative effectiveness research · 2024
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Dividend policy issues in the European pharmaceutical industry: new empirical evidence.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2023
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. The financial performance of the health care industry: a global, regional and industry specific empirical investigation.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2018
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. The opportunity cost of capital: development of new pharmaceuticals.Inquiry : a journal of medical care organization, provision and financing · 2015
    Article
  15. New Zealand's drug development industry.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2013
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Patents, innovation, and the welfare effects of Medicare Part D.Advances in health economics and health services research · 2010
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Henry GrabowskiDepartment of Economics, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
John Vernon
Joseph A DiMasi

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPreviously published research by the authors found that returns on research and development (R&D) for drugs introduced into the US market in the 1970s and 1980s were highly skewed and that the top decile of new drugs accounted for close to half the overall market value. In the 1990s, however, the R&D environment for new medicines underwent a number of changes including the following: the rapid growth of managed-care organisations; indications that R&D costs were rising at a rate faster than that of overall inflation; new market strategies of major firms aimed at simultaneous launches across world markets; and the increased attention focused on the pharmaceutical industry in the political arena.

objectiveThe aim of this study was to examine the worldwide returns on R&D for drugs introduced into the US market in the first half of the 1990s, given that there have been significant changes to the R&D environment for new medicines over the past decade or so.

resultsAnalysis of new drugs entering the market from 1990 to 1994 resulted in findings similar to those of the earlier research - pharmaceutical R&D is characterised by a highly skewed distribution of returns and a mean industry internal rate of return modestly in excess of the cost of capital.

conclusionsAlthough the distribution of returns on R&D for new drugs continues to be highly skewed, the analysis reveals that a number of dynamic forces are currently at work in the industry. In particular, R&D costs as well as new drug introductions, sales and contribution margins increased significantly compared with their 1980s values.

Indexed as

CommerceCosts and Cost AnalysisDrug ApprovalDrug IndustryEconomic CompetitionHumansResearchUnited States

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.