Evidence map›Paper›PMID 12433896›Full record

ArticleHeart (British Cardiac Society)2002

Population need for coronary revascularisation: are national targets for England credible?

R M Martin, H Hemingway, D Gunnell, K R Karsch, A Baumbach, S Frankel

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2002. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Angina (chronic stable).BMJ clinical evidence · 2008
    Pooled it
  2. Myocardial perfusion scintigraphy: the evidence.European journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging · 2004
    Guideline
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Determining optimal population rates of cardiac catheterization: a phantom alternative?CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2005
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

R M MartinDepartment of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Canynge Hall, Whiteladies Road, Bristol, UK. richard.martin@bristol.ac.uk
H Hemingway
D Gunnell
K R Karsch
A Baumbach
S Frankel
University of Bristol · GBUniversity College London · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the need for coronary revascularisation, by using an incidence of indications approach, among 45-84 year olds with stable angina, unstable angina, and acute myocardial infarction.

designModelling exercise. Six key steps along the pathway of care from initial diagnosis in primary or secondary care to revascularisation were defined and the frequency of indications estimated using routine data from hospital admissions and data from studies in the general population, and primary and secondary care. SETTING AND PATIENTS: Mid-1998 population of England.

interventionCoronary revascularisation.

main outcome measureAbility to benefit (need), defined by randomised trials, expert panel ratings from the ACRE (appropriateness of coronary revascularisation) study, or by informal consensus.

resultsThe need for coronary revascularisation was estimated to be 92 000 procedures, equivalent to a rate of 1861 per million population. Overall, the model of need exceeded current provision by 3.3:1, although among people aged 75 years and over the ratio was 7.7:1. A plausible upper estimate of need--obtained by assuming that 90% of patients with stable angina were referred from primary care and that angiography would be performed in 65% of patients with acute myocardial infarction and 75% of patients with unstable angina--was 2626 per million population.

conclusionsThe national target of 1500 revascularisation procedures per million population is credibly related to population need, although upper estimates of need are considerably higher. Better understanding is required of the benefits of referring patients with specific indications from primary care. The greatest relative increase in provision is required for those aged 75 and older, among whom trial evidence of benefit is scant.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAngina PectorisAngina, UnstableChronic DiseaseEnglandFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalMyocardial InfarctionMyocardial RevascularizationNeeds AssessmentPatient Admission

Identifiers

PMID12433896
PMCPMC1767444
OpenAlexW2148055363

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.