Evidence map›Paper›PMID 12098725›Full record

Trial reportBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2002

Predictors of poor outcome and benefits from antibiotics in children with acute otitis media: pragmatic randomised trial.

Paul Little, Clare Gould, Michael Moore, Greg Warner, Joan Dunleavey, Ian Williamson

Abstract readClinical TrialRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2002. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Delayed antibiotic prescriptions for URTIs.Canadian family physician Medecin de famille canadien · 2011
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Ear discharge in children presenting with acute otitis media: observational study from UK general practice.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2010
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Antibiotic treatment for acute otitis media: time to think again.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2005
    Article
  14. The use of infrared thermometry for the detection of fever.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2004
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Predicting complications from acute cough in pre-school children in primary care: a prospective cohort study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2004
    Article
  18. Delayed prescriptions in primary care.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2003
    Article
  19. Antibiotic Stewardship: An Important Pharmacy Role?The Canadian journal of hospital pharmacy
    Article
  20. [Not Available].The Canadian journal of hospital pharmacy
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Paul LittleCommunity Clinical Sciences (Primary Medical Care Group), University of Southampton, Aldermoor Health Centre, Southampton SO15 6ST. psl3@soton.ac.uk
Clare Gould
Michael Moore
Greg Warner
Joan Dunleavey
Ian Williamson

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo identify which children with acute otitis media are at risk of poor outcome and to assess benefit from antibiotics in these children.

designSecondary analysis of randomised controlled trial cohort.

settingPrimary care.

participants315 children aged 6 months to 10 years.

interventionImmediate or delayed (taken after 72 hours if necessary) antibiotics.

main outcome measurePredictors of short term outcome: an episode of distress or night disturbance three days after child saw doctor.

resultsDistress by day three was more likely in children with high temperature (adjusted odds ratio 4.5, 95% confidence interval 2.3 to 9.0), vomiting (2.6,1.3 to 5.0), and cough (2.0, 1.1 to 3.8) on day one. Night disturbance by day three was more likely with high temperature 2.4 (1.2 to 4.8), vomiting (2.1,1.1 to 4.0), cough (2.3,1.3 to 4.2), and ear discharge (2.1, 1.2 to 3.9). Among the children with high temperature or vomiting, distress by day three was less likely with immediate antibiotics (32% for immediate v 53% for delayed, chi2=4.0; P=0.045, number needed to treat 5) as was night disturbance (26% v 59%, chi2=9.3; P=0.002; number needed to treat 3). In children without higher temperature or vomiting, immediate antibiotics made little difference to distress by day three (15% v 19%, chi2=0.74; P=0.39) or night disturbance (20% v 27%, chi2=1.6; P=0.20). Addition of cough did not significantly improve prediction of benefit.

conclusionIn children with otitis media but without fever and vomiting antibiotic treatment has little benefit and a poor outcome is unlikely.

Indexed as

Acute DiseaseAnti-Bacterial AgentsChildChild, PreschoolCoughFeverHumansInfantOtitis MediaPatient SelectionPrimary Health CarePrognosisTreatment OutcomeVomitingAnti-Bacterial Agents

Identifiers

PMID12098725
PMCPMC116668

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.