Evidence map›Paper›PMID 11838912›Full record

ArticleJournal of studies on alcohol2001

Childhood and adolescent predictors of alcohol abuse and dependence in young adulthood.

J Guo, J D Hawkins, K G Hill, R D Abbott

Open access · greenAbstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of studies on alcohol, 2001. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 108 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
108citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

108 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 262 citations in OpenAlex.

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  18. Predicting Alcohol Dependence Symptoms by Young Adulthood: A Co-Twin Comparisons Study.Twin research and human genetics : the official journal of the International Society for Twin Studies · 2021
    Article
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48 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

J GuoSocial Development Research Group, University of Washington, Seattle 98115, USA. guojie@u.washington.edu
J D Hawkins
K G Hill
R D Abbott
University of Washington · US

Funding

SUBSTANCE USE AND TRANSITIONS TO ADULT ROLESR01DA009679 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI HAWKINS, J DAVID · 1996 to 2008
$6.1M
NIAAA NIH HHS R01AA10989NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA009679NIDA NIH HHS R01DA09679
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo provide a comprehensive examination of childhood and adolescent predictors of alcohol abuse and dependence at age 21, theoretically guided by the social development model.

methodData were taken from an ethnically diverse urban sample of 808 students (51% male), surveyed at age 10 and followed prospectively to age 21 in 1996. Potential predictors of alcohol abuse and dependence at age 21 were measured at ages 10, 14 and 16. Relationships between these predictors and alcohol abuse and dependence were examined at each age, to assess changes in their patterns of prediction over time.

resultsStrong bonding to school, close parental monitoring of children and clearly defined family rules for behavior, appropriate parental rewards for good behaviors, high level of refusal skills and strong belief in the moral order predicted a lower risk for alcohol abuse and dependence at age 21. Of these, strong bonding to school consistently predicted lower alcohol abuse and dependence from all three ages (10, 14 and 16). By contrast, youths who had a higher risk of alcohol abuse and dependence at age 21 engaged in more problem behaviors, had more opportunities to be involved with antisocial individuals and spent more time with and were more bonded to those individuals, viewed fewer negative consequences from antisocial behaviors and held more favorable views on alcohol use. Of these, prior problem behaviors and antisocial opportunities and involvements at ages 10, 14 and 16 consistently predicted alcohol abuse and dependence at age 21.

conclusionsThese important malleable predictors, identifiable as early as age 10, provide potential intervention targets for the prevention of alcohol abuse and dependence in early adulthood.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdolescent BehaviorAdultAge FactorsAlcoholismChildChild BehaviorFamily RelationsFemaleForecastingHumansLogistic ModelsMalePeer GroupPrevalenceSex Characteristics

Identifiers

PMID11838912
PMCPMC1868672
OpenAlexW2155660114

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.