ArticleJournal of the Royal Society of Medicine2001
Is the National Health Service at the edge of chaos?
Article in Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 2001. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Sustainability at the edge of chaos: its limits and possibilities in public health.BioMed research international · 2013Review
- A simple guide to chaos and complexity.Journal of epidemiology and community health · 2007Review
- Evidence based medicine: does it make a difference? Management of complex systems needs new approaches.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2005Article
- Is the NHS getting better or worse? Better to be vaguely right than precisely wrong.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2004Article
- Self-regulation in hospital waiting lists.Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2002Article
- Self-regulation in hospital waiting lists.Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2002Article
- Do in-hospital waiting lists show self-regulation?Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2002Article
- Edge of chaos.Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2002Article
- Edge of chaos.Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2002Article
Corrections and comments
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- Commented on byEdge of chaos.2002
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We used chaos and complexity theory to analyse waiting-list data (1998-2001) pertaining to over 20 000 National Health Service (NHS) patients from general surgical, orthopaedic and neurosurgical units across England. Plots of frequency versus quarter-to-quarter change in waiting times revealed a power relation which seems independent of surgical specialty and hospital location. One interpretation of these findings is that, for the period in question, the NHS was a system at the edge of chaos. This hypothesis might explain why waiting times have resisted attempts at shortening.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.