Evidence map›Paper›PMID 11079864›Full record

ArticleProceedings. AMIA Symposium2000

Models to predict cardiovascular risk: comparison of CART, multilayer perceptron and logistic regression.

I Colombet, A Ruelland, G Chatellier, F Gueyffier, P Degoulet, M C Jaulent

Abstract readComparative StudyEvaluation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. AMIA Symposium, 2000. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

I ColombetMedical Informatics Department, Broussais Hospital, Paris, France. colombet@hbroussais.fr
A Ruelland
G Chatellier
F Gueyffier
P Degoulet
M C Jaulent

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The estimate of a multivariate risk is now required in guidelines for cardiovascular prevention. Limitations of existing statistical risk models lead to explore machine-learning methods. This study evaluates the implementation and performance of a decision tree (CART) and a multilayer perceptron (MLP) to predict cardiovascular risk from real data. The study population was randomly splitted in a learning set (n = 10,296) and a test set (n = 5,148). CART and the MLP were implemented at their best performance on the learning set and applied on the test set and compared to a logistic model. Implementation, explicative and discriminative performance criteria are considered, based on ROC analysis. Areas under ROC curves and their 95% confidence interval are 0.78 (0.75-0.81), 0.78 (0.75-0.80) and 0.76 (0.73-0.79) respectively for logistic regression, MLP and CART. Given their implementation and explicative characteristics, these methods can complement existing statistical models and contribute to the interpretation of risk.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesDecision TreesLogistic ModelsNeural Networks, ComputerArtificial IntelligenceDatabases, FactualHumansRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC Curve

Identifiers

PMID11079864
PMCPMC2244093

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.