Evidence map›Paper›PMID 10899241›Full record

ArticleThorax2000

Declining incidence of episodes of asthma: a study of trends in new episodes presenting to general practitioners in the period 1989-98.

D M Fleming, R Sunderland, K W Cross, A M Ross

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Thorax, 2000. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Changing disease incidence: the consulting room perspective.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2006
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Too clean, or not too clean: the hygiene hypothesis and home hygiene.Clinical and experimental allergy : journal of the British Society for Allergy and Clinical Immunology · 2006
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Temporal change in the prevalence of respiratory symptoms and obstructive airways disease 1993-2001.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2005
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Hayfever--practical management issues.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2004
    Article
  15. Article
  16. The reducing incidence of respiratory tract infection and its relation to antibiotic prescribing.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2003
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Asthma: a major pediatric health issue.Respiratory research · 2002
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

D M FlemingRoyal College of General Practitioners, Birmingham Research Unit, Birmingham B17 9DB, UK. DFleming@rcgp-bru.demon.co.uk
R Sunderland
K W Cross
A M Ross

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA study was undertaken to determine trends in the incidence of new episodes of asthma presented to general practitioners participating in the Weekly Returns Service of the Royal College of General Practitioners, comprising 92 practices with a registered population of approximately 680 000 persons well distributed throughout England and Wales. These practices monitor the morbidity presented at every consultation, distinguishing between new episodes of illness and ongoing consultations.

methodsAge specific weekly rates of new episodes of asthma (and of acute bronchitis) presenting to the general practitioners over the years 1989-98 were examined in four week blocks and analysed by multiple regression, separating secular from seasonal trends.

resultsQuadratic trends in episodes of asthma were evident in each of the age groups with peaks in 1993/4. Corresponding analyses for acute bronchitis disclosed similar trends generally peaking in the winter of 1993/4. Mean weekly incidence data (all ages combined) decreased in all quarters since 1993. Regional analysis (North/Central/South) showed similar decreases.

conclusionsThere has been a gradual decrease in the incidence of asthma episodes and of acute bronchitis presenting to general practitioners since 1993. The trend of an increase before 1993 followed by a decrease cannot be explained by changes in the patterns of health care usage or diagnostic preference of doctors.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAge DistributionAsthmaChildChild, PreschoolCross-Sectional StudiesEnglandFamily PracticeHealth SurveysHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID10899241
PMCPMC1745822

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.