Evidence map›Paper›PMID 10817062›Full record

ArticleSexually transmitted infections2000

Attack rates of human papillomavirus type 16 and cervical neoplasia in primiparous women and field trial designs for HPV16 vaccination.

M Kibur, V af Geijerstamm, E Pukkala, P Koskela, T Luostarinen, J Paavonen, J Schiller, Z Wang, J Dillner, M Lehtinen

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Article in Sexually transmitted infections, 2000. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

M KiburDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Tallinn, Estonia.
V af Geijerstamm
E Pukkala
P Koskela
T Luostarinen
J Paavonen
J Schiller
Z Wang
J Dillner
M Lehtinen

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIdentification of human papillomavirus type 16 (HPV16) as the major risk factor for cervical neoplasia, and mass production of DNA free HPV capsids have paved the way to preventive vaccination trials. Design of such trials requires reliable attack rate data.

objectiveDetermination of (1) HPV16 and (2) cervical neoplasia attack rates in primiparous women. Estimation of actuarial sample sizes for HPV16 vaccination phase IV trials.

designA longitudinal cohort study.

methodsPopulation based Finnish Maternity Cohort (FMC) and Finnish Cancer Registry (FCR) were linked for the identification of two cohorts of primiparous women: (1) a random subsample of the FMC: 1656 women with two pregnancies between 1983-9 or 1990-6 and living in the Helsinki metropolitan area, and (2) all 72,791 primiparous women living in the same area during 1983-94. Attack rate for persistent HPV16 infection (1) was estimated in 1279 seronegative women by proportion of seroconversions between the first and the second pregnancy. Comparable 10 year cumulative incidence rate (CR) of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade III and cervical cancer (CIN III+) (2) was estimated based on cases registered at the FCR during 1991-4.

resultsThe HPV16 attack rates were 13.8% (< 18 years), 7.0% (18-19 years), 2.3% (21 years), 2.4% (23 years), and 4.5% (< 25 years). Number of vaccinees required for a 5 year efficacy trial with persistent HPV16 infection as the end point ranged between 1000 and 3900, assuming 80% power, 90%-70% vaccine efficacy (VE), and misclassification. The CRs of CIN III+ were 0.33% (< 18 years), 0.44% (18-19 years), 0.21% (20-24 years), and 0.28% (< 25 years). Number of vaccinees required for a 10 year efficacy trial with HPV16 positive CIN III+ as the end point was 15,000 assuming 80% power, 90% VE, and 75% aetiological fraction of CIN III+ for HPV16.

conclusionsThe attack rates of HPV16 and CIN III+ identify primiparous women under 25 years of age among target populations for postnatal HPV vaccination at phase II/III trials.

Indexed as

PapillomaviridaeAdolescentAdultCohort StudiesFemaleFinlandHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesPapillomavirus InfectionsParityPregnancyResearch DesignRisk FactorsUterine Cervical NeoplasmsViral VaccinesViral Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID10817062
PMCPMC1760571
OpenAlexW2001104329

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.