Evidence map›Paper›PMID 10493478›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgery1999

Clinical score for predicting recurrence after hepatic resection for metastatic colorectal cancer: analysis of 1001 consecutive cases.

Y Fong, J Fortner, R L Sun, M F Brennan, L H Blumgart

7 registry-linked trialsAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgery, 1999. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 7 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 1,368 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1,368citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01174121 phase2recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2010, after this paper: background citation

A Phase II Study Using Short-Term Cultured, Autologous Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes Following a Lymphodepleting Regimen in Metastatic Cancers Plus the Administration of Pembrolizumab

TypeinterventionalSponsorNational Cancer Institute (NCI)Ran2010 to 2029Enrolled332ConditionsMetastatic Colorectal Cancer, Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer, Metastatic Ovarian Cancer, Metastatic Breast CarcinomaArmsPembrolizumab (Keytruda), Fludarabine, Cyclophosphamide, Aldesleukin, Young TIL
NCT02954913 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2017, after this paper: background citation

Simultaneous RESEction of Colorectal Cancer With Synchronous Liver MeTastases (RESECT): A Feasibility Study

TypeinterventionalSponsorHamilton Health Sciences CorporationRan2017 to 2021Enrolled41ConditionsColoRectal Cancer, Liver Metastases, Liver Metastasis Colon Cancer, SurgeryArmsSimultaneous Resection
NCT03031444 phase2 / phase3completednot on this mapstarted 2016, after this paper: background citation

A Multicenter Study of Prognosis and the Efficacy Comparison of Perioperative Chemotherapy Plus Cetuximab Versus Chemotherapy Alone for High Risk Patients(Clinical Risk Score≥3) of Resectable Colorectal Liver Metastasis

TypeinterventionalSponsorPeking University Cancer Hospital & InstituteRan2016 to 2020Enrolled135ConditionsColorectal Cancer Stage IV, MetastasisArmsCetuximab plus FOLFIRI/FOLFOX, FOLFIRI/FOLFOX/CapeOX
NCT05186116 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Living Donor Liver Transplantation (LDLT) in Non Resectable Colo-rectal Cancer Liver Metastasis. The LIVERMORE Trial (LIVing Donor livEr tRansplant Modena cOloRectal mEtastasis) [Original Title in Italian: "Trapianto di Fegato da Donatore Vivente Per Metastasi Epatiche Non Resecabili da Adenocarcinoma Del Colon"]

TypeinterventionalSponsorAzienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di ModenaRan2022 to 2032Enrolled25ConditionsColon Adenocarcinoma, Liver Metastasis Colon CancerArmsLiving donor liver transplant, Split liver transplant, RAPID, DDLT
NCT05189171 completednot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

MicroOrganoSphere Drug Screen to Lead Care (MODEL) Precision Oncology Pilot Trial in Colorectal Cancer (CRC)

TypeobservationalSponsorXilis, Inc.Ran2022 to 2024Enrolled46ConditionsColorectal NeoplasmsArmsMicroOrganoSphere (MOS) drug screen
NCT06416436 phase1withdrawnnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Immunotherapy in Combination With Ablative Radiosurgery to Ultra-high DoSes (ICARUS): A Phase I Dose-escalation Radiosurgery Study in Metastatic Cancers

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of Kansas Medical CenterRan2024 to 2024Enrolled0ConditionsSolid TumorArmsAtezolizumab, Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy (SBRT)
NCT06779734 completednot on this mapstarted 2020, after this paper: background citation

Radiomic Features of Tumor and of Liver-Tumor Interface in Patients With Colorectal Liver Metastases. Identification of New Prognostic Biomarkers.

TypeobservationalSponsorIstituto Clinico HumanitasRan2020 to 2024Enrolled400ConditionsLiver Metastases From Colorectal Cancer (mCRC)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1,368 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
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  11. Immune phenotype and RAS/BRAF status predict outcomes after lung metastasectomy for colorectal cancer.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Construction and validation of a prognostic model for 1 year all-cause mortality risk in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after HIFU treatment.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

1,308 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Y FongHepatobiliary Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, New York City, New York 10021, USA.
J Fortner
R L Sun
M F Brennan
L H Blumgart

Funding

THERAPY OF HEPATIC METASTASES FROM COLORECTAL CARCINOMAR01CA061524 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI KEMENY, NANCY E · 1993 to 2001
$259k
ACCELERATION OF TUMOR GROWTH BY LIVER RESECTIONR01CA072632 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI FONG, YUMAN · 1997 to 1999
–
NCI NIH HHS R01CA61524NCI NIH HHS R01CA72632NCI NIH HHS R01CA76416
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThere is a need for clearly defined and widely applicable clinical criteria for the selection of patients who may benefit from hepatic resection for metastatic colorectal cancer. Such criteria would also be useful for stratification of patients in clinical trials for this disease.

methodsClinical, pathologic, and outcome data for 1001 consecutive patients undergoing liver resection for metastatic colorectal cancer between July 1985 and October 1998 were examined. These resections included 237 trisegmentectomies, 394 lobectomies, and 370 resections encompassing less than a lobe. The surgical mortality rate was 2.8%.

resultsThe 5-year survival rate was 37%, and the 10-year survival rate was 22%. Seven factors were found to be significant and independent predictors of poor long-term outcome by multivariate analysis: positive margin (p = 0.004), extrahepatic disease (p = 0.003), node-positive primary (p = 0.02), disease-free interval from primary to metastases <12 months (p = 0.03), number of hepatic tumors >1 (p = 0.0004), largest hepatic tumor >5 cm (p = 0.01), and carcinoembryonic antigen level >200 ng/ml (p = 0.01). When the last five of these criteria were used in a preoperative scoring system, assigning one point for each criterion, the total score was highly predictive of outcome (p < 0.0001). No patient with a score of 5 was a long-term survivor.

conclusionResection of hepatic colorectal metastases may produce long-term survival and cure. Long-term outcome can be predicted from five criteria that are readily available for all patients considered for resection. Patients with up to two criteria can have a favorable outcome. Patients with three, four, or five criteria should be considered for experimental adjuvant trials. Studies of preoperative staging techniques or of adjuvant therapies should consider using such a score for stratification of patients.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overColorectal NeoplasmsFemaleHumansLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPatient SelectionPredictive Value of TestsSurvival RateTime FactorsTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID10493478
PMCPMC1420876

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.